The guys at @BetWithStats1 preview the second week of the Premier League
Bournemouth v Watford - Saturday 15.00
Marco Silva's Watford team got a valuable point against Liverpool at home in an impressive display. However, both Watford's and Silva's record on the road have been significantly poorer than their home performances. Thus, we can see Watford struggling away to the Cherries. Our model completely backs us up, with a 71% chance of Bournemouth taking the 3 points. How could we refuse the odds on offer!?
Burnley v West Brom - Saturday 15.00
Burnley held on in the second half at Stamford Bridge to pull off a shock victory against the Champions. On top of this, last season Burnley's home form was magnificent, consistently beating sides that came to Turf Moor. West Brom are good defensively on the road, but do they have enough steel to hold the Clarets back from winning? We think not. There is a 53% chance of a Burnley win in this one, so we see value in odds longer than Evens.
Leicester v Brighton - Saturday 15.00
Even throughout Leicester's poor form last season, The King Power was a very hard place to go. There is a 64% chance that they will begin this season in that same vein. Brighton performed well against Man City, but eventually succumbed to the pressure from the favourites for the title. There is good value for a Leicester win, and them registering their first points this campaign.
Liverpool v Crystal Palace - Saturday 15.00
Both Liverpool and Crystal Palace would have hoped for better resultson the opening weekend in games where they were both odds-on favourites. Although de Boer's side failed to score, Liverpool showed the same defensive fragilities which cost them so frequently last season. There is a 62% chance of Both Teams To Score, and we're backing that.
Southampton v West Ham - Saturday 15.00
Two sides who failed to score in the first game of the season meet at St Mary's and they will be looking to get their first wins of the season. Southampton's home attack is now rated as the league's worst, and West Ham's success on the road last season is reflected in their away attack being rated as the sixth-best in the league. There is a 74% chance that West Ham will either win or draw, and there is unbelievable value available for that double chance bet.
Huddersfield v Newcastle - Sunday 13.30
Although both of these teams had a very different start to Premier League life, there is still no denying Newcastle's quality, just months after they won The Championship title. We expect a closely-contested match, but there is a 51% chance that Newcastle will go back home with all three points. The bookmakers disagree, with some big prices on offer but we will be backing the Magpies on Saturday.
Tottenham v Cheslea - Sunday 16.00
As possibly the most interesting fixture of the gameweek, an injury and suspension-hit Chelsea side go to Wembley to play a Spurs side with the best home defence in the league and an attack that was great to watch at St. James' Park. It is very hard to call, but Chelsea will need to be tight to have a chance, and Tottenham may struggle to score while adapting to their new surroundings. There is a 66% chance of either goalkeeper keeping a clean sheet, and BTTS - No is odds against in places, which is a great bet for this one.