Everton v Bournemouth - Saturday 15:00
Everton were thumped 3-0 in their last home game against Spurs but if we exclude top-six opponents, they’re W12-D2-L0 at Goodison Park since the start of last season. As a result, they look a fair price to win as they host a Bournemouth side that have lost four of their five games and both their away matches. Indeed, they’re just W1-D3-L4 when travelling to sides between 7th and 14th since the start of last season, and Everton are of course at the upper end of that spectrum. So the Toffees look like value, particularly as we expect them to improve each week as the new signings gel together.
Bournemouth have conceded at least three times in seven of their last nine away defeats, whilst they’ve also been behind at the break in seven of their last eight away losses. Since Everton led at half-time in seven of their last nine home wins and Bournemouth have conceded in the first 45 in 11 of their last 15 on their travels, we’re also going to back Everton/Everton Half Time/Full Time. They were 3-0 up at half time the last time the Cherries came to Goodison and whilst they’re unlikely to repeat that we do expect them to take control early on.
The start of Sandro Ramirez’s Everton career has been hampered somewhat by an injury he picked up in their opener against Stoke but now that he’s back to full fitness, we expect him to show what he can do, especially against this leaky Bournemouth defence. He managed 14 goals in a struggling Malaga side last term and they’re certainly feeling his absence as they’ve lost all four games so far in La Liga. We’re backing the La Masia graduate to be the first goalscorer.