Spurs have won just once in their last 24 trips to the Gunners in the league
Arsenal v Spurs – Saturday, Sky Sports 12:30
As we head into the first North London derby of the season a win for Arsenal will pull them to within a point of their local rivals. However, they last took all three points in the derby back in 2013/14 as four of the six meetings in the last three campaigns have seen the points shared. That includes the last three at the Emirates though Spurs have won just once in their last 24 trips to the Gunners in the league.
The big names for Spurs should return after skipping the international break with various ailments, while Arsenal are hopeful of being able to call upon Shkodran Mustafi following a thigh strain. Given a defensive record of 15 goals conceded in the six matches the German has missed this season compared to one in the five he’s started that would be a massive boost. The Gunners can also take heart from a home record that’s seen them win 10 in a row at the Emirates and they’ve scored at least twice in 11 of their last 12 here.
Arsenal’s record against fellow top-six finishers in the past four seasons highlights that they’ll be tough to beat as they’ve gone W8-D10-L2 and they’ve also proven resilient from bad starts as they’ve lost only one of seven in that sample when conceding first (W1-D5-L1). Another draw looks to be the best bet but for our long shot we’ll back Wenger’s men to show their resolve in a Spurs/Draw Half-Time/Full-Time double.
Spurs have not been at their most clinical yet this term but the defence remains solid with five clean sheets in their last eight and just three goals conceded in five away matches. However, they failed to win at any of the top seven last term and extending that to the top 11 their record was just W1-D5-L4. Seven of those 10 trips had fewer than three goals as have eight of their 11 trips to top-six finishers in the past two campaigns and Man Utd this, and as the outsider in the 2.5 Goals market ‘unders’ looks a cracking bet against what we expect to be an Arsenal defence with Mustafi and Koscielny restored to the heart of it.
If not, Harry Kane has scored in his last five consecutive league meetings with Arsenal and could be worth a punt in the first scorer market.