Brighton v Stoke – Monday 20:00, Sky Sports
Brighton were beaten by Man City in their opening home game but since then they’re unbeaten in four at Falmer Stadium. However, Stoke come into this on the back of an excellent 1-0 win at Watford in their last away game, with Man City the only side to win at Vicarage Road prior to that. Brighton also managed a point there, but the Seagulls are perhaps a touch short at around 2.4 – Stoke have lost just two of 10 trips to promoted teams since 2014/15 (W4-D4-L2). If they are to get the victory though, Stoke may well have to score twice as they’ve kept just one clean sheet in seven visits to Premier League newbies since 2015/16.Bet £10 get £20
Indeed, Stoke have kept only five away clean sheets since the start of last season, but Mark Hughes seems to have found the right attacking combination with Shaqiri playing off Choupo-Moting and that duo are in impressive form having managed a goal and four assists between them in Stoke’s last three. Brighton also look to be a side with some attacking potential as a trip to the Emirates was their only blank in their last eight matches. Seven of Stoke’s last eight matches have had at least three goals with half having four or more and ‘overs’ is very generously priced. For a long shot, given Stoke look the value in the match outcome markets, we’re also backing a Stoke Win and Both Teams to Score.
Since Brighton have conceded exactly twice in each of their four defeats so far, the 2-1 correct score in Stoke’s favour is of interest, whilst it’s also worth considering Shaqiri in the goalscorer markets. The Swiss is benefiting from an extended run of games having struggled with injuries last term and has two goals and four assists in his last seven appearances. We’re backing him to find the net.