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Roma v Lazio – Saturday 17:00, BT Sport 3
Roma may have won nine of their 11 games this term, but it’s telling that the two defeats they’ve suffered have come at home against Napoli and Inter – the two sides they’ve faced above them in the table. Indeed, they’re just W1-D1-L4 since the start of last season against top-five opposition now, though both teams did score in all but one of these games. Lazio have endured their own defeat hosting Napoli this season, but they’ve also won all six of their road trips including at Juve, who they came from behind to defeat. They have however only kept one clean sheet across these six victories on their travels, meaning 10 of their last 12 away wins have been despite conceding. They of course aren’t travelling far here as the two teams share a stadium but half the last six Rome derbies have had at least four goals with Lazio winning this fixture 3-1 last term.
Napoli v AC Milan – Saturday 19:45, BT Sport 2
Napoli remain unbeaten this term, but they have dropped points twice in their last four with goalless stalemates against Inter and Chievo. However, Inter are also unbeaten and we don’t expect the trip to Chievo to signal a more prolonged dip. Furthermore, they’ve netted at least three times in nine of their 12 games so far. Milan have gained seven points from their last four to lift themselves from 10th to a more respectable 7th in the table, but it’s particularly noticeable that each of their five defeats this term have come against the current top six and their opponents covered the -1 handicap in four of these.
Benevento v Sassuolo – Sunday 14:00
Benevento continue to look out of their depth at this level having lost all 12 of their games so far, and if they’re to avoid a swift return to Serie B they’ll need to take advantage of opportunities like this one. Sassuolo are W2-D2-L8 for the season, with both victories narrow 1-0 wins, whilst at least one team has failed to score in eight of their nine matches excluding results against the top four. Benevento have managed just two goals from five home games, and so there’s some real value in backing at least one team failing to find the net, with the away win to nil also of significant interest. However, the expected absence of Domenico Berardi for Sassuolo leaves us preferring to stick to the goals markets.