Every year there are relatively few who fall into that category and, for all that this year we have a big field, many of these worthy colts are simply just that – they are not going to be champions.
When Wings Of Desire won the Dante, however, there was a moment two furlongs out when Frankie Dettori took a pull, before unleashing the horse to run down a smart opponent. That one piece of evidence is enough to convince me that he has the most natural talent of any horse in this year's race, and as such, he gets the vote.
His pedigree and his past performance before the Dante tells you that not only should he act effectively on soft ground, he should also be fully effective over a strongly run mile and a half. He could be drawn a little better but in truth in a field like this I'd rather be towards the outside than right down on the inner where jostling for position will become more of an issue.
As regards to his biggest danger, I will not leave Harzand unbacked either, for two reasons; first, he will act well on the surface and second the form of his Ballysax Stakes win looks quite strong.
I fancy Cartago in the opening ten-furlong handicap (2.00). I've got massive respect for Sir Michael Stoute’s Poets Word but Calzago is twice the price and comes here off the back of a really solid effort on similarly dead ground at Newbury. The handicapper has put him up enough for that but I think he can go well again.
Postponed Is a gorgeous horse, incredibly well balanced, and for all that he faces two talented fillies in Found and Simple Verse, I think he should win the Coronation Cup (3.10) provided the pacemaker gets the fractions right.
The Princess Elizabeth Stakes (2.35) could also go the way of the favourite but I will have a dart at Merry Me at a big price. Andrew Balding’s charge has got a really good form on the track and the yard’s horses are starting to roll.