The first match on Centre Court is a battle of two 6 foot 6 giants. World number 28, Sam Querrey, is on a great run and has beaten the likes of Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, Kevin Anderson and then Andy Murray on his way to reaching his first ever Grand Slam semi-final. Marin Cilic is also new to this stage at Wimbledon after falling at the quarter-finals in the last three years.
The Croatian goes into the match as favourite despite Querrey’s impressive form and I also think this might be one step too far for the American. Cilic is a Grand Slam winner and he showed great grit and determination to come through a five set match against Nadal’s conquerer, Gilles Muller.
Querrey also won his previous game in five but his last three matches have all gone all the way to a decider. Although so far he has shown no signs of fatigue, Querrey has played 22 sets this event compared to Cilic’s 17 and I think this mixed with the experience of being involved in the latter stages of a Slam will show and the world number 6 will win in straight sets.
All eyes are on Roger Federer now as the path has seemingly cleared for him to win his 18th Grand Slam and 8th Wimbledon title. The bookies certainly think it is now his to lose, priced at 4/11 outright. The Swiss has been his usual imperious self again this tournament, yet to drop a set whilst having to negotiate arguably the hardest route to the final. I wouldn’t put off anyone having a bet on Federer 3-0 at 7/8, but I think there is more value to be had elsewhere.
Tomas Berdych has gone about his work quietly but confidently so far, the most impressive of his wins coming against world number 8 Dominic Thiem in the round of 16. The 6 foot 5 Czech’s best surface is grass and although his head-to-head record reads 6 wins to Federer’s 18, the last time they met at Wimbledon was in 2010 where he beat Roger in the quarter-final and went on to finish runner up to Rafa Nadal.
The first set is crucial for Berdych if he wants to win this match and I expect neither player to give much away. I expect both players to hold their serves early on in this match and a first set tie break is the bet at 9/4.