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NBA Finals MVP Odds: Ranking the Five Players Most Likely To Win Finals MVP

The NBA Conference Finals matchups are set, which gives us new odds for the NBA Finals MVP. Kade Kimble takes a look at the most likely winners with the best odds.
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NBA Finals MVP Odds: Ranking the Five Players Most Likely To Win Finals MVP

The NBA Conference Finals matchups are set, which gives us new odds for the NBA Finals MVP. With new odds comes more speculation. Let’s analyze who owns the best odds and who is the most likely to bring home the award. 

Complete NBA Playoffs Odds

5. Jaylen Brown NBA Finals MVP Odds (+1800) (Bet $100 to win $1800)

With the fifth-best odds, Jaylen Brown has a sizable margin between him and the fourth-best guy’s odds. While he has the fifth-best odds, the pick could make sense. If the Celtics make the Finals, Jayson Tatum will demand a lot of attention, opening up the floor for Brown, and helping him string together big games. But can Jaylen Brown change his NBA Finals MVP odds during the Eastern Conference Finals?

The Celtics' historically good defense could help them outlast any of the remaining teams, giving Brown a boost, in large part because of his wing defense. So far in the playoffs, Brown is averaging 22.2 PPG and we know he can pull together a string of big games.

4. Jimmy Butler NBA Finals MVP Odds (+550) (Bet $100 to win $550)

Butler is tied with the third-best odds, and for a good reason. When the Heat have no answer on offense, Jimmy Butler happens. It’s been their main source of offense when things dry up, and not just scoring, Butler has also been creating shots for his teammates. 

In the playoffs so far, Butler is averaging 28.7 PPG, 7.6 RPG, and 5.4 APG. It doesn’t seem that Butler’s game will slow down, and in the regular season, those stats would have him easily in the MVP conversation. Jimmy Butler is making a case for why his NBA Finals MVP odds should change.

3. Jayson Tatum NBA Finals MVP Odds(+220) (Bet $100 to win $220)

Can Jayson Tatum change his NBA Finals MVP odds in this series against the Heat? While Tatum holds the second-best odds, I think he’s the third most likely to win the Finals MVP award. It’s no knock on him, but more so praise to my number one pick. Tatum is the Celtic’s main guy on the court, and that automatically puts him in the contention to win the award. Tatum had a huge game in game 6 which would eventually knock off the defending champs just one game later. 

The Celtics have one of the best defenses currently in the league, but so far they’ve been able to find offense outside of their stars. If the Celtics supporting cast proves to be enough in the Finals, if they make it, Tatum’s game will be open enough to the point that he can have some games similar to his game 6 to help his NBA Finals MVP case.

2. Luka Doncic NBA Finals MVP Odds (+550) (Bet $100 to win $550)

For me, Luka makes the jump simply because of his ability to step up when the lights shine bright. He’s got one of the most iconic Game 7 performances with 46 points in a loss to the Clippers only a season ago and defeated the Suns by nearly 40 points in a Game 7 this season. 

The Mavericks have a pretty solid track record against the Warriors this season and since the Luka era has begun in general. With the two combined, if the Mavericks make the finals, they will hold all the momentum and should boost Luka’s chance to have some big-time moments and huge statlines to win the award. In his playoff career, Luka has averaged 32.7 PPG, 9.3 RPG, and 8.3 APG in 23 games played. It’s not a secret that Luka can perform on the biggest stage. But will his NBA Finals MVP odds change during the series against the Warriors?

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1. Steph Curry NBA Finals MVP Odds (+180) (Bet $100 to win $180)

After the game 7 Sunday wrapped up, the path for Curry and the Warriors to make, and win the Finals got much more solid. The defending champs and the team they defeated were both knocked out. And in the end, narrative matters, and Curry has that on his side. He’s bound to win a Finals MVP if he wins another finals, since he’s yet to have won one with three rings on his resume.

With that being said, Curry and the Warriors have championship experience and solid health. Things look like they may be in Curry’s favor to dominate the last two series that he has remaining. 

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Steph Curry+180
Jayson Tatum +200
Luka Doncic+550
Jimmy Butler+550
Jaylen Brown+1800


Kade has spent his last 3 years writing about the Oklahoma City Thunder. He has also been following the NBA for the past 11 years. Just recently, Kade began co-hosting the Boomtown Hoops Podcast.


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