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The Seattle Mariners will host the Toronto Blue Jays on Friday night in what figures to be a low-scoring matchup. Can Luis Castillo and Kevin Gausman deliver in this pitchers duel? Krabs provides his prediction and pick for Blue Jays vs. Mariners.
ANALYSIS

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction: Can Luis Castillo Limit Blue Jays on Friday Night?

It hasn’t been the best start to the season for either Kevin Gausman or Luis Castillo. Their ERAs are both higher than I’m sure they’d like, but they will have the opportunity to lower them on Friday night…

Blue Jays vs. Mariners DATE, TIME, AND WHERE TO WATCH

  • Date: July 5, 2024
  • Start Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to Watch: MLB Extra Innings

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction

Seattle just finished their series with the Orioles, one of the best teams in baseball. They lost the first two games in low scoring affairs, but their bats broke out in the final game yesterday, leading them to a win. After their bats showed up in yesterday’s series finale, I want to fade the Mariners offense against the veteran Gausman on Friday.

Luckily for Seattle, I’m expecting Luis Castillo to pitch just as well as Kevin Gausman in the first game of this series. He hasn’t been the best version of himself of late, but the Blue Jays struggle against right-handed pitching. This Toronto team already looks dead and we’re not even at the All Star break yet. They have dropped four of their previous five games, scoring three or less runs in each loss. I’m not expecting their offense to wake up in one of the most notorious “pitchers parks” in baseball.

The total in this game opened up at 7.5 before sharps steamed the total down to 7. That’s an interesting move considering less than 25% of the bets and handle (on VSiN) are currently backing this under. Considering both of these big name starters have struggled this season, I was pleasantly surprised by this move on the total, especially after Seattle’s offensive performance yesterday. This under looks like one of the sharpest plays on the MLB slate…

Kevin Gausman and Luis Castillo aren’t going to struggle all season. It’s only a matter of time before both aces get back on track, and watching the total drop down from 7.5 to 7 in the first game of this series, I wouldn’t be surprised if that day is today. Fade the public and take the under in this late-night game between two big name veterans; I’ll meet you at the cash counter after they both throw gems.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners Pick

Pick: TOR/SEA u7 (+100) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners System Projections - July 5th

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Krabs is a contrarian bettor who isn’t afraid to fade the public or go against the grain. His betting style not only produces winners but has changed the way many think about the sports betting process. You’ll find Krabs betting on anything from the NFL (at a 60% clip in 2022) to the KBO (8-1-1 in 2022). You won’t find many handicappers with more college basketball knowledge or insight than Krabs. A native of the “DMV,” you can find his work @Krabs_Bets on Twitter, or on Behind the Lines, his daily sports betting show on twitch.

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