Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
Looking for more MLB player prop bets for Thursday that you can profit on? Jason Radowitz provides his best MLB home run bets for August 29th. Read on find out which players can go yard today.
Jason Radowitz - August 29, 2024, 9:38 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
We've had back-to-back nights with home runs!
Pete Alonso (+450) came through on Tuesday, and William Contreras (+560) launched a homer last night.
Let's go for the hat-trick with today's 11-game slate. Here are three more home run props to consider for today.
August 29 Best MLB Home Run Props
William Contreras to Hit a Home Run (+450) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
William Contreras has been on point over the last month. Therefore, we'll keep riding him.
Contreras has slugged a .338 ISO and wOBA of .418 against his last 83 righties. He's also struck out below 17% of the time over the last 30 days against righties.
In the afternoon, he'll battle Hayden Birdsong of the Giants. Birdsong has struggled against righties as a right-handed pitcher. He's allowed a .292 ISO and wOBA of .374 to 82 righties this season.
In the last month, he's also given up a .296 ISO and wOBA of .421 to his last 31 righties. It's an ongoing theme.
Meanwhile, Contreras has hit 56.1% of hard contact and a 14% barrel percentage. It has a very good chance of launching another bomb today.
Michael Toglia to Hit a Home Run (+340) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Michael Toglia keeps on having good matchups against the Marlins.
We've already played him twice over the last couple of days and he's missed on both. I'll give him one more try.
I'd have FOMO if I didn't.
Toglia has hit a .236 ISO and wOBA of .368 over the last 30 days against righties. He's also launched 42.4% of fly balls and 30.3% of line drives with a 51.5% hard contact rate and an 18.2% barrel percentage.
These are elite numbers and, ultimately, numbers we look for when picking home-run candidates.
Meanwhile. he'll take on Valente Bellozo of the Marlins, who has allowed 51.4% of hard contact to lefties over the last month. He's also given up 34.3% of fly balls and has induced just 20% of ground balls against lefties.
If Toglia can get ahold of one in Coors Field, he'll take it the distance. Let's give him one more shot.
Addison Barger to Hit a Home Run (+750) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Addison Barger and the Toronto Blue Jays will face Kutter Crawford of the Red Sox. Crawford is a righty pitcher who has struggled immensely against lefties over the last 30 days.
Crawford has given up a .255 ISO and wOBA of .340 to his last 60 lefties. He's also allowed 56.4% of hard contact and has given up 43.6% of fly balls to lefties to lefties over the last 30 days.
Meanwhile, Barger, who will likely bat fifth in the lineup, has hit a .291 ISO and wOBA of .339 against his last 59 righties as a left-handed batter. Barger has nailed 26.8% of fly balls and 26.8% of line drives, while hitting a 53.7% hard contact rate and a 12.2% barrel percentage.
He's got an appealing matchup against Crawford tonight.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- William Contreras to Hit a Home Run (+450) (Bet $100 to collect $550)
- Michael Toglia to Hit a Home Run (+340) (Bet $100 to collect $440)
- Addison Barger to Hit a Home Run (+750) (Bet $100 to collect $850)
MLB ODDS
