Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
Over the last four days, we've nailed four home run props.
Taylor Ward (+450) and Eugenio Suarez (+750) cashed in to cap off a massive night. Let's carry that momentum into today's nine-game slate in the MLB.
September 5 Best MLB Home Run Props
Matt Wallner to Hit a Home Run (+420) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Matt Wallner has hit a .224 ISO and wOBA of .369 against his last 78 righties. The left-handed slugger has hit 34.1% of fly balls and 68.2% of hard contact, with a 15.9% barrel percentage over the last month against righties.
Tonight, he'll take on Taj Bradley. While Bradley has great potential, the right-hander has struggled against lefties a lot over the last month.
Bradley has allowed a .208 ISO and wOBA of .406 to his last 56 lefties. He's also given up 35.9% of line drives and 69.2% of hard contact to those lefties. Beyond that, he's struck out 17.9% of lefties and has allowed a 10.3% barrel percentage.
Take Wallner to go deep in this early afternoon matchup.
Mike Yastrzemski to Hit a Home Run (+600) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
In the last 30 days, Mike Yastrzemski has slugged a .274 ISO and wOBA of .331 against his last 68 righties. He's also struck out only 17.6% of the time while hitting 26% of fly balls. In addition, he's also nailed 44% of hard contact and has added a 10% barrel percentage.
He'll go up against Merrill Kelly of the Arizona Diamondbacks. Kelly is a veteran pitcher who just can't get lefties out right now. Instead, he's allowed a .347 ISO and wOBA of .423 to his last 57 lefties.
Those same 57 lefties have hit 40% of fly balls and 64.4% of hard contact. He's also allowed a 20% barrel percentage to lefties and has earned just 4.4% of swinging strikes.
This is a good spot for Yaz!
Ramon Laureano to Hit a Home Run (+630) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
In the last 30 days, Ramon Laureano has hit a .250 ISO and wOBA of 530 against his last 31 lefties.
He's also added 36.8% of line drives and 68.4% of hard contact in that time. Beyond that, he's led the Braves in barrel percentage, which is currently 21.1% over the last 30 days against lefties.
Meanwhile, he'll compete against lefty Austin Gomber of the Rockies. Gomber has allowed a .250 ISO and wOBA of .359 to his last 82 righties. He's also allowed 39.1% of fly balls with 32.8% of line drives over the last month to righties.
Furthermore, Gomber has earned just 14.6% of strikeouts against righties in the last 30 days and has given up 57.8% of hard contact.
Laureano at +630 has some serious value.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Matt Wallner to Hit a Home Run (+420) (Bet $100 to collect $520)
- Mike Yastrzemski to Hit a Home Run (+600) (Bet $100 to collect $700)
- Ramon Laureano to Hit a Home Run (+630) (Bet $100 to collect $730)
MLB ODDS
Article Author
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.