Arizona vs. Arizona State Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest CFB Odds for Territorial Cup
The Arizona Wildcats will look to take advantage of the Arizona State injuries in this Territorial Cup rivalry game on Friday night. Can Noah Fifita and the Wildcats emerge victorious on the road? Let's take a look at McBets' Arizona vs. Arizona State prediction and best bet for Friday, November 28th.
McBets - November 28, 2025, 5:30 PM EST
4 Minute ReadArizona vs. Arizona State Prediction: Can Noah Fifita, Wildcats Take Down Sun Devils in State Rivalry?
The Territorial Cup almost always delivers fireworks, but for me, this one comes down to two things: Arizona is playing its best football of the season, and Arizona State is holding things together with duct tape, noise, and a backup quarterback. With the number sitting near pick’em, this sets up perfectly to ride the hotter, more complete, more reliable team.
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Arizona vs. Arizona State Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Friday, November 28, 2025
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- How to Watch: FOX
Arizona vs. Arizona State Odds
Click here for the latest Arizona vs. Arizona State Odds
Arizona vs. Arizona State Prediction
Let’s start with Arizona — a team nobody talks about, yet one of the most quietly dangerous squads in the Big 12 right now.
The Wildcats enter this matchup winners of four straight, and they haven’t just been winning — they’ve been crushing people. 52–17 over Colorado. 41–17 over Baylor. A road upset at Cincinnati.
And their only losses since early October: BYU in overtime and at Houston by three.
If you’re a résumé bettor, this team is screaming “undervalued.”
Noah Fifita has been tremendous — arguably the most underrated QB in the conference. He’s thrown 25 touchdowns to just five picks, ranking among the league leaders in yardage and efficiency. And this could very well be his last real game in an Arizona uniform. If he enters the NFL Draft, he won’t risk a mid-tier bowl game. This is his sendoff. Motivation box: checked.
Fifita has a deep weapon set around him, from the dependable Javin Whatley to the explosive Tre Spivey, and the running game is layered with both power (Reescano) and explosiveness (Mahdi). Arizona has been putting defenses in binds all November, scoring in multiple ways because you simply can’t key in on one thing.
Defensively, Arizona is better than they get credit for.
Even without top corner Jay’Vion Cole last week, they settled in and held Baylor scoreless for the final three quarters. They allow just 1.84 points per opponent possession, a borderline top-30 mark, and opponents produce a quality scoring drive on only 35.6% of possessions — top-20 nationally.
This team is quietly balanced and trending upward.
Now let’s look at Arizona State.
The Sun Devils are gritty, they’re tough, and they’ve won three straight. But the underlying context matters:
- Sam Leavitt — their best player — is out for the season and eyeing the transfer portal.
- Jeff Sims is a limited passer. His strength is running, not beating defenses from the pocket.
- Their run game has been elite lately, but that’s also been against below-average fronts.
- And they still own one of the worst Rushing Success Rate defenses in Power 5.
Yes, Arizona State can run the ball. But when games tighten, when opponents answer, when Sims has to throw? That’s where the drop-off becomes real.
Arizona is the healthier roster. Arizona is the more complete team. Arizona has the steadier quarterback. And Arizona has been the far more impressive team down the stretch — while ASU’s recent win streak includes inflated margins against weaker opponent.
And one more key angle:
Arizona is the more undervalued team in the betting market. They’ve been covering numbers consistently (4–1 ATS in their last five) and should’ve covered against BYU if not for OT.
Arizona State, meanwhile, is in the top 25 off résumé fumes — and the market is treating these teams like equals. They’re not.
Arizona vs. Arizona State Pick
- 2 Unit Pick: Arizona ML (-120) Check out these best odds on DraftKings Sportsbook
We back the hotter offense.
We back the healthier roster.
We back the better quarterback.
We back the team playing its best football right now.
This rivalry always delivers madness — but Arizona is the side that wins this matchup far more often than this price implies.
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