Horse Racing Tips & Predictions: Liam Firkin Thursday Selections
York Thursday 17:20 Betting Odds- Winner
British EBF Fillies' Handicap
- Starters:21
- Distance:7f
- Class: 2
- Age:3YO plus
- Prize:£51540
- Going:Good
Best Odds
Odds Shortening
Odds Drifting
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| 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 6 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 4 1/4 |
Win only |
Win only | ||||
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Best Odds
Odds Shortening
Odds Drifting
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| 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 6 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 4 1/4 |
Win only |
Win only | ||||
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| 16 |  Saffie Osborne211 | 11/4 | 3 | 3 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 11/4 | 5/2 | SP | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 11/4 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | SP | 10/3 | 10/3 | |
| 13 |  Tom Marquand1-3215 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 6 | 5 | SP | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 5 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 5 | 5 | SP | 196/ 25 | 191/ 25 | |
| 6 |  Billy Loughnane427611 | 8 | 8 | 15/2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 15/2 | 13/2 | SP | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 13/2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 13/2 | 13/2 | SP | 54/5 | 54/5 | |
| 15 |  Oisin Murphy61126 | 9 | 10 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 8 | SP | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 8 | 8 | 17/2 | 8 | 17/2 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 15/2 | 15/2 | SP | 861/ 100 | 441/ 50 | |
| 18 |  Edward Greatrex-11413 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | SP | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | SP | 93/10 | 49/5 | |
| 7 |  Oliver Stammers4411 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | SP | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | SP | 24 | 24 | |
| 21 |  S De Sousa234-11 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | SP | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | SP | 76/5 | 76/5 | |
| 12 |  D Tudhope12-4 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 11 | SP | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | SP | 76/5 | 147/ 10 | |
| 2 |  C J Whiteley-11055 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 16 | SP | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | SP | 22 | 23 | |
| 4 |  C Lee14321- | 16 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | SP | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 14 | SP | 20 | 20 | |
| 9 |  O J Orr214-50 | 16 | 20 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 18 | SP | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | SP | 88/5 | 66/5 | |
| 20 |  Lauren Young722222 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 20 | SP | 20 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 18 | SP | 22 | 22 | |
| 1 |  Pierre-Louis Jamin119116 | 22 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | SP | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 20 | SP | 34 | 46 | |
| 11 |  A Mullen051544 | 25 | 28 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 28 | SP | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 28 | SP | 22 | 20 | |
| 19 |  Cam Hardie-82222 | 33 | 40 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | SP | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 33 | SP | 44 | 46 | |
| 17 |  George Wood0-1693 | 33 | 40 | 33 | 40 | 40 | 33 | 40 | 40 | 40 | SP | 33 | 40 | 40 | 33 | 33 | 40 | 40 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 40 | 40 | 40 | SP | 63 | 77 | |
| 8 |  Finley Marsh42-289 | 33 | 40 | 33 | 40 | 40 | 33 | 40 | 40 | 40 | SP | 33 | 40 | 40 | 33 | 33 | 40 | 40 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 40 | 40 | 40 | SP | 46 | 63 | |
| 14 |  Tom Kiely-Marshall464207 | 33 | 40 | 28 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | SP | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 33 | SP | 21 | 28 | |
| 10 |  Ray Dawson746467 | 33 | 40 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | SP | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | SP | 93/5 | 23 | |
| 5 |  Rossa Ryan1-1700 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | SP | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 40 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | SP | 73 | 87 | |
| 3 |  P J McDonald2-6050 | 40 | 50 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | SP | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | SP | 58 | 68 | |
York Thursday 17:20 Racecard & Betting Preview
Horse Number
Notables
Overview
Odds
1 (4) Bellarchim (IRE) 44
Form: 119116
Age: 5
Weight:
10 - 0
Colour: ch
Dam: Drop Dead Gorgeous
Sire: Mehmas
Dam's Sire: Sepoy
Trainer: Grant Tuer
Jockey: Pierre-Louis Jamin
Has won 13 races from 5f to 1m on ground varying from good to firm to soft and on the all-weather. Finished 6l behind Radiant Beauty when sixth of 12 at 9-2 on her latest outing at Pontefract over 1m (good) last month. Has won 3 times this season.
25/1
2 (6) Royal Velvetm (GB) 22
Form: -11055
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 12
Colour: b
Dam: Velvet Morn
Sire: Lightning Spear
Dam's Sire: Epaulette
Trainer: W J Knight
Jockey: C J Whiteley (5)
Has won nine races from 7f to 1m on good to firm and good ground and on the all-weather. Finished 4 1/2l behind Flora Of Bermuda when fifth of 13 at 20-1 on her latest outing in the Group 3 Rolls-Royce Oak Tree Stakes at Goodwood over 7f (good to firm) last month. Has won at Lingfield and Newmarket this season.
18/1
3 (17) Mubasimahf (IRE) 62
Form: 2-6050
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 5
Colour: b
Dam: Mubtasimah
Sire: Frankel
Dam's Sire: Dark Angel
Trainer: A M Balding
Jockey: P J McDonald
A winner at 7f on good to firm ground. Well beaten at 28-1 behind Green Carrera when 23rd of 30 on her latest outing at Ascot over 1m (good to firm) in June.
50/1
4 (1) Lam Yaif (IRE) 299
Form: 14321-
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 3
Colour: b
Dam: One Spirit
Sire: Lucky Vega
Dam's Sire: Invincible Spirit
Trainer: K R Burke
Jockey: C Lee
Successful at 5f and 6f on soft and heavy ground. Won on her latest outing when 7-4fav at Doncaster over 6f (heavy) in October last year, beating Figjam by 1 1/2l.
18/1
5 (16) Just Call Me Angelf (GB) 23
Form: 1-1700
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 1 p 1
Colour: b
Dam: Be More
Sire: Dark Angel
Dam's Sire: Shamardal
Trainer: E A L Dunlop
Jockey: Rossa Ryan
She has won four times from 7f to 1m on good ground and on the all-weather. Beaten 6l behind Rumba Numba at 50-1 when 11th of 14 on her latest outing at Goodwood over 1m (good) last month. She is wearing cheekpieces for the first time.
50/1
6 (12) Trystf (IRE) 19
Form: 427611
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 0 p
Colour: b
Dam: Amerique
Sire: Sottsass
Dam's Sire: American Post
Trainer: G Boughey
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
She has won three times from 7f to 1m 1f on good to firm ground and on the all-weather. A winner at 5-1 at Newmarket over 7f (good to firm) on her latest outing earlier this month, beating Lion of Mali by 1 3/4l. Has also won at Yarmouth this season.
8/1
7 (18) Carnival Of Lightf (GB) 20
Form: 4411
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 0
Colour: ch
Dam: Endless Echoes
Sire: Night Of Thunder
Dam's Sire: Shamardal
Trainer: C Johnston
Jockey: Oliver Stammers
Successful twice at 7f on the all-weather. Won on her latest outing when 11-4fav at Wolverhampton over 7f last month, beating Inside Story by a neck.
14/1
8 (19) Bella Lyraf (GER) 75
Form: 42-289
Age: 3
Weight:
8 - 13
Colour: b
Dam: Baden Baden
Sire: Oasis Dream
Dam's Sire: Sea The Moon
Trainer: R Hughes
Jockey: Finley Marsh
A winner at 6f on good ground. Beaten 8l behind Darya at 25-1 when last of 9 on her latest outing at Santa Anita over 1m (good) in June. Having her first run for a new stable today, previously with Mark Glatt in United States.
40/1
9 (7) Oolong Poobongf (IRE) 64
Form: 214-50
Age: 4
Weight:
8 - 13 t
Colour: b
Dam: Boo Boo Bear
Sire: Make Believe
Dam's Sire: Almutawakel
Trainer: E Bethell
Jockey: O J Orr
Successful at 6f and 7f on good ground and on the all-weather. Beaten 18l behind Alobayyah at 11-1 when 20th of 24 on her latest outing at Ascot over 1m (good to firm) in June.
20/1
10 (13) Figjamf (IRE) 12
Form: 746467
Age: 3
Weight:
8 - 11
Colour: b
Dam: Liliofthelamplight
Sire: Dandy Man
Dam's Sire: Helmet
Trainer: K Scott
Jockey: Ray Dawson
A winner at 6f on good ground. Beaten 9l behind Red Spells Danger at 11-1 when seventh of 9 on her latest outing at Ascot over 6f (good to firm) earlier this month.
40/1
11 (21) Beaujolais Nouveauf (GB) 23
Form: 051544
Age: 4
Weight:
8 - 11 p
Colour: ch
Dam: Lady Lekki
Sire: Twilight Son
Dam's Sire: Champs Elysees
Trainer: B Haslam
Jockey: A Mullen
Successful at 5f and 6f on good ground. Finished 3l behind Sing The Blues when fourth of 20 at 33-1 on her latest outing at Goodwood over 6f (good) last month.
28/1
12 (3) Caimf (GB) 86
Form: 12-4
Age: 3
Weight:
8 - 10
Colour: b
Dam: Prado
Sire: Oasis Dream
Dam's Sire: Iffraaj
Trainer: E Bethell
Jockey: D Tudhope
A winner at 7f on soft ground. Finished 11l behind Harlequin Breeze when last of 4 at 11-4 on her latest outing at Leicester over 1m (good to firm) in May.
14/1
13 (10) Albaydaaf (IRE) 57
Form: 1-3215
Age: 3
Weight:
8 - 10
Colour: ch
Dam: Manaajim
Sire: Pinatubo
Dam's Sire: Muhaarar
Trainer: W J Haggas
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Successful twice at 7f on good to firm ground and on the all-weather. Finished 2 1/2l behind Ellusive Butterfly when fifth of 10 at 2-1fav on her latest outing at Carlisle over 7f (good to firm) in June.
13/2
14 (8) Perfect Partf (IRE) 33
Form: 464207
Age: 4
Weight:
8 - 9 p
Colour: ch
Dam: Queensbrydge
Sire: Mehmas
Dam's Sire: Dutch Art
Trainer: B Ellison
Jockey: Tom Kiely-Marshall (5)
A winner at 5f on good to firm ground, but that win was over two years ago. Beaten 4l behind Egoli at 15-2 when seventh of 9 on her latest outing at Doncaster over 7f (good to firm) last month.
40/1
15 (9) Machadadorpf (GB) 23
Form: 61126
Age: 3
Weight:
8 - 9
Colour: b
Dam: Maid To Remember
Sire: Mehmas
Dam's Sire: Redoutes Choice
Trainer: A M Balding
Jockey: Oisin Murphy
Successful twice at 7f on good to firm and good ground. Finished 4l behind Sing The Blues when sixth of 20 at 5-1jt-fav on her latest outing at Goodwood over 6f (good) last month. Has won at Wetherby and Chester this season.
10/1
16 (15) Starlight Lassf (GB) 43
Form: 211
Age: 3
Weight:
8 - 8
Colour: gr
Dam: Monsoon Moon
Sire: Dubawi
Dam's Sire: Kingman
Trainer: J & T Gosden
Jockey: Saffie Osborne
Successful twice at 1m on good to firm ground. A winner at 6-5 at Yarmouth over 1m (good to firm) on her latest outing last month, beating Raneem by 2 1/4l. Has also won at Newmarket this season.
3/1
17 (20) Starfinchf (IRE) 28
Form: 0-1693
Age: 3
Weight:
8 - 7
Colour: b
Dam: Astadash
Sire: Mehmas
Dam's Sire: Zoffany
Trainer: Harry Eustace
Jockey: George Wood
A winner at 6f on the all-weather. Third of 4 behind Three Non Blondes beaten 3/4l at 14-1 on her latest outing at Yarmouth over 7f (good to firm) last month.
40/1
18 (14) Secret Historyf (IRE) 23
Form: -11413
Age: 3
Weight:
8 - 4 h
Colour: b
Dam: Gumriyah
Sire: Ardad
Dam's Sire: Shamardal
Trainer: E Walker
Jockey: Edward Greatrex
She has won three times from 6f to 7f on good to firm ground and on the all-weather. Third of 20 behind Sing The Blues beaten 2 3/4l at 5-1jt-fav on her latest outing at Goodwood over 6f (good) last month. Has won 3 times this season.
12/1
19 (5) Cotai Bellef (IRE) 29
Form: -82222
Age: 3
Weight:
8 - 2
Colour: b
Dam: Liberty Sky
Sire: Cotai Glory
Dam's Sire: Rip Van Winkle
Trainer: R A Fahey
Jockey: Cam Hardie
Successful twice at 5f on good to firm and good ground. Beaten 3 1/2l by Miss Nightcap when second of 5 at 85-40fav on her latest outing at Leicester over 6f (good to firm) last month. Runs from 1lb out of handicap.
40/1
20 (2) Woohoom (IRE) 13
Form: 722222
Age: 5
Weight:
8 - 2
Colour: b
Dam: Jamboree Girl
Sire: Acclamation
Dam's Sire: Bahamian Bounty
Trainer: J S Goldie
Jockey: Lauren Young (5)
Winner of five races from 5f to 6f on good to firm and good ground. Beaten a neck by Tiva when second of 6 at 9-4 on her latest outing at Musselburgh over 5f (good) earlier this month. Runs from 1lb out of handicap.
22/1
21 (11) Zooellaf (IRE) 27
Form: 234-11
Age: 3
Weight:
8 - 2
Colour: ch
Dam: Brogan
Sire: Zoustar
Dam's Sire: Pivotal
Trainer: R M Beckett
Jockey: S De Sousa
Successful twice at 6f on good to firm ground and on the all-weather. A winner at 5-2 at Thirsk over 6f (good to firm) on her latest outing last month, beating Canaria Queen by 1 1/2l. Has also won at Lingfield this season.
14/1
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KEY
Odds ShorteningOdds Drifting
Forecast Prices: Starlight Lass 11/4, Albaydaa 7/1, Tryst 7/1, Machadadorp 10/1, Secret History 10/1, Carnival Of Light 12/1, Zooella 12/1, Caim 20/1, Royal Velvet 16/1, Lam Yai 16/1, Oolong Poobong 14/1, Woohoo 20/1, Bellarchi 20/1, Beaujolais Nouveau 25/1, Cotai Belle 33/1, Starfinch 33/1, Bella Lyra 33/1, Perfect Part 33/1, Figjam 25/1, Just Call Me Angel 50/1, Mubasimah 33/1
oddschecker Verdict
STARLIGHT LASS defied a penalty when beating the odds-on favourite in novice company at Yarmouth. The progressive daughter of Dubawi should have plenty more to offer now handicapping and gets the tentative vote in an open affair. Oolong Poobong has a fighting chance off her current mark back as she reverts to 7f, but last year's winner Royal Velvet bids to repeat the dose off a 14lb higher mark and the less-exposed Tryst could prove a bigger danger bidding for a hat-trick.
Prediction: 1st Starlight Lass, 2nd Oolong Poobong, 3rd Tryst
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