Jake Price's Thursday Betting Tips For Racing Action at Newbury and Newcastle
Chelmsford City 16:45 Betting Odds- Winner
Juddmonte EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
- Starters:12
- Distance:7f 162y
- Class: 2
- Age:2YO only
- Prize:£15702
- Going:
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| 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 |
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| 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 |
Win only |
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| 1 |  D Egan1 | 1 | 10/11 | 10/11 | 5/6 | 5/6 | 10/11 | 5/6 | 5/6 | 5/6 | 10/11 | 10/11 | 10/11 | 5/6 | 10/11 | 10/11 | 10/11 | 10/11 | 10/11 | 5/6 | 5/6 | SP | 5/6 | 10/11 | |||
| 4 |  Charles Bishop42 | 11/4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10/3 | 3 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 3 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 10/3 | 10/3 | SP | 7/2 | 7/2 | |||
| 3 |  Rossa Ryan5 | 13/2 | 7 | 7 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 6 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 7 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 7 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 7 | SP | 186/ 25 | 803/ 100 | |||
| 9 |  Ivan Rossi3 | 15/2 | 8 | 8 | 15/2 | 7 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 7 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 8 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 8 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 8 | SP | 54/5 | 59/5 | |||
| 10 |  Harry Davies84 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 20 | SP | 26 | 36 | |||
| 8 |  George Wood7 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 33 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 33 | SP | 28 | 36 | |||
| 12 |  Cieren Fallon9 | 33 | 28 | 33 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 33 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | SP | 40 | 42 | |||
| 5 |  Finley Marsh- | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 28 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | SP | 30 | 38 | |||
| 2 |  Jason Watson8 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 33 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 33 | 33 | SP | 34 | 36 | |||
| 7 |  Jack Doughty7 | 66 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 40 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 66 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | SP | 42 | 73 | |||
| 6 |  Darragh Keenan7 | 66 | 66 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 40 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 66 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 66 | SP | 53 | 117 | |||
| 11 |  Christian Howarth69 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 80 | 66 | 80 | 100 | 100 | 80 | 100 | 100 | 80 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | SP | 68 | 215 | |||
Chelmsford City 16:45 Racecard & Betting Preview
Horse Number
Notables
Overview
Odds
1 (11) Tough Decisionc (GB) 30
Form: 1
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 7
Colour: b
Dam: Fast Spin
Sire: Universal
Dam's Sire: Hard Spun
Trainer: Tom Clover
Jockey: D Egan
Foaled 28 Feb. Full brother to Fast Bullet, won at 1m. A winner at 7-2 at Brighton over 1m (good to firm) on his latest outing last month, beating Queens Bandit by 3/4l.
1/1
2 (8) Berkshire Dreamc (GB) 56
Form: 8
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 4 t
Colour: gr
Dam: Black Medick
Sire: Showcasing
Dam's Sire: Dark Angel
Trainer: A M Balding
Jockey: Jason Watson
Foaled 20 Jan. Dam won four times between 7f and 1m 1f. Beaten 17l behind Note To Self at 18-1 when eighth of 10 on his racecourse debut at Lingfield over 6f in September.
33/1
3 (9) Bizzo Flavinc (GB) 43
Form: 5
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 4
Colour: b
Dam: Little Clarinet
Sire: Showcasing
Dam's Sire: Requinto
Trainer: R A Teal
Jockey: Rossa Ryan
Foaled 2 Apr. Half-brother to Looby, won at 5f. Finished 5l behind Donegan when fifth of 9 at 25-1 on his racecourse debut at Kempton over 1m in September.
7/1
4 (12) Galimixg (IRE) 28
Form: 42
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 4
Colour: b
Dam: Roman Colour
Sire: Space Traveller
Dam's Sire: Holy Roman Emperor
Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton
Jockey: Charles Bishop
Foaled 29 Jan. Dam unraced. Placed once in two starts. Beaten 3 1/2l by Aethelstan Gold when second of 13 at 4-1 on his latest outing at Bath over 1m (good) last month.
10/3
5 (7) Jeffs On A Missionc (GB)
Form:
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 4
Colour: b
Dam: Crimson Rock
Sire: Saxon Warrior
Dam's Sire: Fastnet Rock
Trainer: E Smyth-Osbourne
Jockey: Finley Marsh
Foaled 9 May. Half-brother to Espritroyale, won over hurdles at 2m.
33/1
6 (1) Omega Fernandezg (GB) 14
Form: 7
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 4
Colour: ch
Dam: Romany Gypsy
Sire: Lope Y Fernandez
Dam's Sire: Indesatchel
Trainer: Lemos Souza
Jockey: Darragh Keenan
Foaled 12 Mar. Full brother to Isle Of Fernandez, won at 6f. Well beaten at 25-1 behind Sydney Carton when last of 7 on his racecourse debut at Newmarket over 1m (soft) last month.
66/1
7 (6) Re Shardanag (GER) 90
Form: 7
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 4 p 1 t
Colour: ch
Dam: Reimagined
Sire: Victor Ludorum
Dam's Sire: Gleneagles
Trainer: C Hobson
Jockey: Jack Doughty
Foaled 8 Mar. Dam unraced. Beaten 15l behind Desert Castle at 500-1 when seventh of 8 on his racecourse debut at Newmarket over 7f (good to firm) in August. He is wearing cheekpieces for the first time. Having his first run for a new stable today.
66/1
8 (5) Sheephavenbayc (GB) 145
Form: 7
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 4
Colour: b
Dam: Hail Shower
Sire: Bated Breath
Dam's Sire: Red Clubs
Trainer: James Horton
Jockey: George Wood
Foaled 10 Apr. Half-brother to Atrium, won six times at 7f and 1m. Beaten 10l behind Regal Chita at 22-1 when seventh of 8 on his racecourse debut at Leicester over 7f (good) in June.
33/1
9 (4) Pien De Danec (IRE) 24
Form: 3
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 1
Colour: ch
Dam: Bittersweet
Sire: Arizona
Dam's Sire: Power
Trainer: H Kobeissi
Jockey: Ivan Rossi
Foaled 30 Jan. Half-brother to Fleetfootsoldier, won four times at 7f and 1m. Third of 11 behind Showcasing Glory beaten 4 1/2l at 100-1 on his racecourse debut at Kempton over 7f last month.
8/1
10 (3) Taran Boltag (GB) 9
Form: 84
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 1
Colour: b
Dam: Air Stricker
Sire: Lightning Spear
Dam's Sire: Acclamation
Trainer: J G Portman
Jockey: Harry Davies
Foaled 27 Mar. Full brother to Thunderous Love, won five times at 6f. Unplaced in both starts. Finished 6l behind Boy Basilica when fourth of 12 at 16-1 on his latest outing at Wolverhampton over 1m 1f last month.
20/1
11 (2) Frankie Powerf (GB) 24
Form: 69
Age: 2
Weight:
8 - 13
Colour: b
Dam: Oconnors Girl
Sire: Perfect Power
Dam's Sire: Roderic Oconnor
Trainer: Jack Jones
Jockey: Christian Howarth
Foaled 5 May. Half-sister to Phrygia, won twice at 1m 4f. Unplaced in both starts. Beaten 9l behind Twilight Fox at 250-1 when 9th of 11 on her latest outing at Kempton over 7f last month. Having her first run for a new stable today, previously with Tom Dascombe.
100/1
12 (10) One Nine Sevenf (GB) 14
Form: 9
Age: 2
Weight:
8 - 10
Colour: b
Dam: Show Stealer
Sire: Sergei Prokofiev
Dam's Sire: Showcasing
Trainer: Lemos Souza
Jockey: Cieren Fallon
Foaled 4 Apr. Dam won seven times at 6f. Beaten 17l behind Imperialism at 18-1 when last of 9 on her racecourse debut at Newmarket over 1m (soft) last month.
33/1
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KEY
Odds ShorteningOdds Drifting
Forecast Prices: Tough Decision 7/4, Galimix 13/8, Bizzo Flavin 16/1, Pien De Dane 6/1, Taran Bolta 14/1, Sheephavenbay 25/1, One Nine Seven 20/1, Jeffs On A Mission 25/1, Berkshire Dream 20/1, Re Shardana 66/1, Omega Fernandez 33/1, Frankie Power 66/1
oddschecker Verdict
Tough Decision made a successful debut at Brighton, but he looks vulnerable carrying a penalty and GALIMIX appeals more. The son of Space Traveller was no match for the winner, now rated 83, when runner-up at Bath last month but that form reads well in this context and Eve Johnson Houghton's inmate gets the nod to go one better. Pien De Dane and Bizzo Flavin are likely improvers and may prove best of the rest.
Prediction: 1st Galimix, 2nd Tough Decision, 3rd Pien De Dane
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