Andy Holding's Premium Horse Racing Tips for Thursday
Southwell 20:00 Betting Odds- Winner
Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Handicap
- Starters:12
- Distance:1m 3f 24y
- Class: 5
- Age:3YO plus
- Prize:£3978
- Going:Standard
Best Odds
Odds Shortening
Odds Drifting
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| 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 |
Win only |
Win only | |||
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Best Odds
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Odds Drifting
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| 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 |
Win only |
Win only | |||
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| 13 |  Lewis Edmunds212122 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 3 | 3 | 10/3 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 3 | 3 | 10/3 | 7/2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10/3 | 3 | 3 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 3 | 7/2 | 7/2 | |
| 4 |  Darragh Keenan643 | 10/3 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 3 | 3 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 10/3 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 100/ 30 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 441/ 100 | 441/ 100 | |
| 2 |  J Mitchell122736 | 15/2 | 7 | 7 | 13/2 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 13/2 | 7 | 13/2 | 7 | 13/2 | 7 | 13/2 | 7 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 803/ 100 | 843/ 100 | |
| 8 |  Billy Loughnane-39131 | 15/2 | 7 | 15/2 | 7 | 15/2 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 13/2 | 7 | 7 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 7 | 843/ 100 | 441/ 50 | |
| 6 |  S M Levey358216 | 8 | 8 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 13/2 | 8 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 7 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 7 | 8 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 7 | 353/ 50 | 191/ 25 | |
| 11 |  Isobelle Chalmers551 | 17/2 | 8 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 8 | 13/2 | 7 | 8 | 15/2 | 8 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 15/2 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 8 | 8 | 15/2 | 113/ 10 | 127/ 10 | |
| 10 |  Ross Coakley335127 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 17/2 | 54/5 | 113/ 10 | |
| 5 |  Daniel Muscutt1-2 | 17/2 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 17/2 | 9 | 17/2 | 9 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 54/5 | 113/ 10 | |
| 9 |  Kieren Fox245 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 18 | 16 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 25 | 28 | |
| 12 |  Ashley Lewis4465 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 28 | 25 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 32 | 38 | |
| 7 |  Alfie Redman113466 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 28 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 40 | |
| 1 |  C J Whiteley1-6947 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 33 | 33 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 33 | 35 | 33 | 53 | 68 | |
| 14 |  Shane Gray44488 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 22 | SP | 25 | 20 | 20 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | SP | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 24 | 32 | |
| 3 |  Rose Dawes-95370 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 18 | SP | 20 | 16 | 16 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 20 | SP | 18 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 18 | SP | 26 | 49/10 | |
Southwell 20:00 Racecard & Betting Preview
Horse Number
Notables
Overview
Odds
1 (6) Lady Ridgewoodf (GB) 76
Form: 1-6947
Age: 4
Weight:
10 - 2
Colour: b
Dam: Joshuas Princess
Sire: Nathaniel
Dam's Sire: Danehill
Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: C J Whiteley (5)
A winner at 1m 2f on polytrack. Beaten 18l behind Hoseki at 50-1 when last of 7 on her latest outing at Ascot over 1m 4f (good to firm) in July.
40/1
2 (9) Rose Cottonf (GB) 25
Form: 122736
Age: 4
Weight:
10 - 1
Colour: ch
Dam: Aim To Please
Sire: New Bay
Dam's Sire: Excellent Art
Trainer: Tom Clover
Jockey: J Mitchell
A winner at 1m 1f on the all-weather. Finished 10l behind Something Splendid when sixth of 8 at 9-2 on her latest outing at Yarmouth over 1m 2f (good to soft) last month.
15/2
3 (14) Pomme Pommef (IRE) 21
Form: -95370
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 13 p 1
Colour: b
Dam: Apple Anni
Sire: Coulsty
Dam's Sire: Fast Company
Trainer: J Channon
Jockey: Rose Dawes (5)
Winner of five races from 1m 1f to 1m 2f including a win on the all-weather. Well beaten at 14-1 behind Mehmas Champion when 12th of 13 on her latest outing at Haydock over 1m 2f (soft) earlier this month. She is wearing cheekpieces for the first time.
4 (12) Aunt Robertaf (IRE) 26
Form: 643
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 10 p 1
Colour: b
Dam: Swizzle Stick
Sire: Sea The Stars
Dam's Sire: Sadlers Wells
Trainer: George Scott
Jockey: Darragh Keenan
Placed once in three starts. Third of 8 behind Chimes Of Thunder beaten 8l at 15-2 on her latest outing at Goodwood over 1m 2f (soft) last month. She is wearing cheekpieces for the first time.
7/2
5 (11) Hamdaniaf (IRE) 21
Form: 1-2
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 9
Colour: ch
Dam: Neesaan
Sire: Space Blues
Dam's Sire: New Approach
Trainer: James Horton
Jockey: Daniel Muscutt
A winner at 7f on the all-weather. Beaten 1 3/4l by Princess Honey Bee when second of 5 at 9-4 on her latest outing at Lingfield over 1m earlier this month.
10/1
6 (13) Melody De Vegaf (IRE) 57
Form: 358216
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 8
Colour: b
Dam: Legal Lyric
Sire: Lope De Vega
Dam's Sire: Lawman
Trainer: T Ward
Jockey: S M Levey
A winner at 1m 2f. Finished 9l behind Spirit Of Athene when sixth of 10 at 12-1 on her latest outing at Sandown over 1m 2f (good to firm) in July. Having her first run for a new stable today, previously with Dr R D P Newland.
8/1
7 (10) Affectionf (FR) 12
Form: 113466
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 8 p 1
Colour: gr
Dam: Fragrance
Sire: Bow Creek
Dam's Sire: Rajsaman
Trainer: D Pipe
Jockey: Alfie Redman (7)
She has won four times from 1m 2f to 1m 4f including 3 wins on the all-weather (2 FB, 1 PO). Finished 4 1/2l behind James Choice when sixth of 9 at 33-1 on her latest outing at Lingfield over 1m 4f earlier this month. She is wearing cheekpieces for the first time.
33/1
8 (7) Emmas Letterf (GB) 34
Form: -39131
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 7 b
Colour: b
Dam: Letterfromamerica
Sire: Saxon Warrior
Dam's Sire: Ghostzapper
Trainer: E A L Dunlop
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
She has won three times from 1m to 1m 2f including a win on the all-weather. A winner at 11-4 at Newmarket over 1m 2f (good to firm) on her latest outing last month, beating Liberate by 2 1/2l.
15/2
9 (8) Lucy The Wiref (IRE) 21
Form: 245
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 7 p
Colour: ch
Dam: Rarement
Sire: Free Eagle
Dam's Sire: Monsun
Trainer: James Owen
Jockey: Kieren Fox
Placed once in three starts; but has won two hurdles (latest NH win was in July). Finished 16l behind Castlemont when fifth of 7 at 33-1 on her latest outing here over 1m 4f earlier this month.
22/1
10 (4) Guesstimatef (GB) 29
Form: 335127
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 7
Colour: br
Dam: Approximate
Sire: Sea The Moon
Dam's Sire: Dubawi
Trainer: W J Haggas
Jockey: Ross Coakley
A winner at 1m 2f. Well beaten at 7-1 behind Magical Merlot when last of 7 on her latest outing at Newbury over 1m 2f (good to firm) last month.
9/1
11 (3) Floating Marketf (GB) 30
Form: 551
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 5
Colour: b
Dam: St Marys
Sire: Bangkok
Dam's Sire: Siyouni
Trainer: A M Balding
Jockey: Isobelle Chalmers (7)
A winner at 9-1 at Lingfield over 1m 2f on her latest outing last month, beating Devil's Brigade by 1/2l.
17/2
12 (1) Kino Plasmatf (IRE) 27
Form: 4465
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 2
Colour: b
Dam: London Plane
Sire: Wootton Bassett
Dam's Sire: Danehill Dancer
Trainer: E Walker
Jockey: Ashley Lewis (3)
Unplaced in all four starts. Finished 8l behind Poets Praise when fifth of 7 at 9-2 on her latest outing at Sandown over 1m (good) last month.
28/1
13 (5) Midnight Mediaf (GB) 17
Form: 212122
Age: 3
Weight:
8 - 13
Colour: b
Dam: Gold At Midnight
Sire: Advertise
Dam's Sire: Havana Gold
Trainer: W Muir & C Grassick
Jockey: Lewis Edmunds
Successful at 1m 1f and 1m 2f including a win on the all-weather. Beaten 1l by The Anthony Gover when second of 11 at 8-11fav on her latest outing at Wolverhampton over 1m 1f earlier this month. Has won at Nottingham and Wolverhampton this season.
7/2
14 (2) Kheprif (USA) 23
Form: 44488
Age: 3
Weight:
8 - 10
Colour: gr
Dam: Meg Fitz
Sire: War Front
Dam's Sire: Tapit
Trainer: K R Burke
Jockey: Shane Gray
Unplaced in all five starts. Beaten 6l behind Melting Snow at 10-1 when eighth of 10 on her latest outing at Wolverhampton over 1m 1f earlier this month.
Odds shown come direct from online bookmakers. Please check all aspects of your bets before placement. More info
KEY
Odds ShorteningOdds Drifting
Forecast Prices: Midnight Media 6/1, Aunt Roberta 10/1, Rose Cotton 12/1, Emmas Letter 10/3, Melody De Vega 14/1, Floating Market 13/2, Guesstimate 10/1, Hamdania 5/1, Lucy The Wire 14/1, Kino Plasmat 14/1, Affection 33/1, Lady Ridgewood 33/1, Khepri 16/1, Pomme Pomme 25/1
oddschecker Verdict
Affection has to be of interest having won over this distance at Lyon-La Soie in March, but she is yet to recapture her French form since joining David Pipe and may have to settle for a place. The lightly raced HAMDANIA won at Wolverhampton on last year's debut. She ran well again when second at Lingfield on her only start since, and although stepping up three furlongs for her handicap debut, she should have more to offer. Goodwood third Aunt Roberta also seems likely to get involved.
Prediction: 1st Hamdania, 2nd Affection, 3rd Aunt Roberta
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