Barnsley v Scunthorpe
Barnsley have won 12 of their last 15 league matches, seven of them with a clean sheet, to climb from bottom of the table over Christmas into their current position of sixth. But they have drifted on the 90-minute market following the news of Graham Alexander’s appointment at Scunthorpe earlier this week.
With the Tykes level on points with seventh-placed Bradford and a tricky trip to Port Vale up next on Easter Monday, ahead of their date with Oxford at Wembley next weekend, this is likely to be a game where the result is all-important and the performance is largely irrelevant. Given that context, victory by the only goal looks like a sensible call.
Accrington v Leyton Orient
Stanley are no strangers to grinding out 1-0s when the conditions suit. They triumphed by the only goal in the reverse fixture at Brisbane Road back in October and were 1-0 winners away at Dagenham last weekend, while third-placed Bristol Rovers were beaten twice by a solitary strike in September and January. My 16-match ratings make the Accrington 1-0 bet a 6/1 shot.
Wycombe v Mansfield
Four defeats in the last six matches have crushed Mansfield’s play-off hopes. The Stags are now seven points adrift of the top seven and though a total goals expectancy of 1.76 suggests this is all set-up to be a chess match, the visitors’ greater need for points might force them into making one wrong move, just as it has on their last two away trips at Newport and Bristol Rovers.
York v Crawley
The Red Devils have conceded only one goal in four matches since Mark Yates bolstered his ranks with several new arrivals, via the loan market and unattached list at the end of February. Five new faces have made their debuts in recent weeks. Not for the first time, Yates is proving to be a wizard when it comes to getting a rabble of misfits organised into a cohesive unit.
For those interested in the prospect of spending Easter Monday on a beach in the Caribbean, the four-timer pays 4535/1