Chesterfield v Sheff Utd
It’s a local derby with an early kick-off time and the Blades have tightened up in recent weeks, so it’s likely to be a tight affair but victory for Chesterfield should close the door on any lingering relegation concerns. The market has a total goals expectancy of 2.53, my ratings make it 2.28, so a supplementary bet on Chesterfield to win to nil is even better value.
Fleetwood v Oldham
The Latics lost at Barnsley in midweek and picked up a few bumps and bruises in the process but that only makes them more likely to park the bus and the Cod Army are one of the most inefficient teams in the division at converting chances. A cover bet on under 1.5 goals is also advised. Don’t expect the floodgates to open if either forces a breakthrough.
Swindon v Bury
The Robins notoriously like to play out from the back and regularly run into trouble when opponents press high up the pitch but Tom Pope and Leon Clarke aren’t the most mobile, so that’s less likely to be a problem in this match. Bury have lost 0-3, 0-6, 0-3 and 0-3 in their last six away trips, so backing Swindon to clear the -1 and -2 handicaps is the way to go here.
Bristol Rovers v Yeovil
The Somerset outfit were beaten 2-0 at home to Exeter last time out but can quickly revert to type, just as they did when going down 3-0 at Cambridge a month ago. This probably counts as their biggest away game of the season and with survival virtually assured, although not absolutely guaranteed, it’s an occasion they can approach in a fairly relaxed but determined manner.
Stevenage v Newport
Stevenage have fired blanks in six of their last nine but have now conceded only twice in four, while Newport were keeping clean sheets for fun until running into stellar opposition and they’ve now lost to nil in each of their last four matches. Between them, eight of the last 12 games have finished under 1.5 goals, so a cover bet on that outcome is also recommended.