Sheffield United v Barnsley

Sheffield United have already missed out on the play-offs once but Nigel Adkins refused to give up the ghost when his team were beaten by Southend three weeks ago, now it looks as though they might have to go through the whole experience all over again. Take the 11/4 available on Barnsley to keep a clean sheet in the early kick-off at Bramall Lane.

The Blades have taken ten points from the last possible 12 since their televised defeat at Roots Hall, although games against Walsall, Gillingham, Chesterfield and Shrewsbury aren’t quite as impressive as they first appear. Based on shot data, those are four of the six most over-performing sides in the division.

Barnsley, by contrast, are League One’s most dominant team with a formidable 63 per cent shot ratio over 24 matches and though the Tykes haven’t quite cemented their place in the top six just yet, they can put down a serious marker and eliminate a rival in the process by winning in business-like fashion here. The Barnsley 2-0 correct score is over-priced at 16/1.
Under 0.5 Sheff Utd goals - 1pt @ 11/4
Barnsley to win 2-0 - 1pt @ 16/1

Bury v Millwall

Millwall’s automatic promotion hopes haven’t been extinguished just yet but Bury can arguably do the Lions a favour by thwarting them for 90 minutes here, thus keeping a lid on their emotions and facilitating their preparations for the play-offs. Take the 10/3 available on the Shakers to keep a clean sheet against Neil Harris’ men.

The Lancashire outfit have shaped up since shipping six goals at Coventry back in February, shutting out the likes of Sheffield United, Bradford and Barnsley at Gigg Lane. Repeating that particular trick against the least creative attack in the top half of the division is no bigger than an 11/5 shot on my tissue.
Bury to keep a clean sheet - 1pt @ 10/3

Portsmouth v Wycombe

You have to admire Gareth Ainsworth’s dedication to low-risk football when he is happy to play out a goalless draw at home to 19th-placed Yeovil while sitting outside the play-offs with just four games to play. Now up against sixth-placed Portsmouth, whom they trail by five points, you can better your bottom dollar Wycombe won’t be gung-ho in their approach at Fratton Park.

In fairness, the Chairboys are punching above their weight and simply don’t have the personnel to take games to their opponents, so smash-and-grab will continue to be favoured modus operandi and under 1.5 goals at 9/4 represents decent value in this game, while you wouldn’t rule out Paul Cook’s men settling for the 0-0 and cementing their position on the back of two defeats.
Under 1.5 goals - 1pt @ 9/4
No goalscorer - 1pt @ 17/2

Yeovil v Northampton

Yeovil stretched their magnificent clean streak to nine in 12 games against Wycombe on Tuesday, a statistic that makes a mockery of the 11/4 available on them extending that sequence with another shut-out against a Northampton side not only promoted but already crowned champions.

The Cobblers have drawn seven of their last 11 and played out a goalless affair at Exeter last weekend, so there’s value also to be found in the 9/1 quote about under 0.5 goals. Half of Yeovil’s eight clean sheets have been 0-0 draws, while the other five were 1-0 wins, three of them nicked against bottom-eight opposition.
Yeovil to keep a clean sheet - 1pt @ 11/4
Under 0.5 goals - 1pt @ 9/1