Gillingham v Millwall

When you’ve blown it, you’ve blown it. That’s the way it feels for anyone connected with Gillingham at the moment and the fact that a top-six finish remains mathematically possible only increases the possibility that Justin Edinburgh’s men will fail to do themselves justice once again. Take the 13/5 available on this game going with the form book and Millwall taking the spoils.

The Gills were looking like certainties to be involved in the end-of-season knockout five weeks weeks ago but just three points from the last seven matches leave them on the outside looking in, and the 3-2 reverse against Shrewsbury in their last home game, in particular, appears to have done irreparable damage to their confidence.

Mental resolve has been a key component of Millwall’s surge up the table and though there’s nothing too significant riding on this game for the Lions, it’s entirely typical of Neil Harris to be preparing for it like any other game - and you believe him when he says it. Millwall to win to nil is the bet that best reflects how the visitors are likely to go about their business here.
Millwall to win - 1pt @ 13/5
Millwall to win to nil - 1pt @ 6/1

Port Vale v Walsall

Jon Whitney has framed Walsall’s final 12 days of the season as a quarter-final, semi-final and final. And having kept their automatic promotion hopes alive by beating Shrewsbury and Fleetwood at home, there’s no doubt the toughest of those last three assignments is now to follow. Take the overly generous 7/2 quote about Port Vale putting the Saddlers to the sword.

This is more or less a local derby, so the Valiants will be in no mood to host a promotion party and they’ve been a solid proposition on home soil all season, losing just three out of 22 matches. There’s also a sizeable age gap between the two teams. Vale boast seven or eight seasoned campaigners in the 27-30 bracket, whereas Walsall have five players 23 or under.

Besides, the possibility of Burton coming up short at Doncaster is so remote that desire in the visiting camp could wane sharply if any demoralising news filters through from the Keepmoat. Walsall have lurched between extremes in recent weeks and there’s additional value in the 9/1 about Vale clearing the -1 handicap if things aren’t going the visitors' way.
Port Vale to beat Walsall - 1pt @ 7/2
Port Vale -1 on the handicap - 1pt @ 9/1

Sheffield United v Scunthorpe

There’s been something rather fraudulent about Scunthorpe’s late dash for the play-offs in a season when they’ve largely underwhelmed and got Mark Robins the sack. However, now there’s a real chance of them gatecrashing the play-offs at the final hurdle, don’t be too surprised if they shy away from the pressure and bow out in timid fashion.

The Iron invested heavily last summer and were widely fancied to compete towards the top of the table all season but they’ve continually flattered to deceive, only ever doing themselves justice in short bursts when operating under the radar. Suddenly, a run of six wins in seven matches means the door has been left ajar with sixth-placed Barnsley travelling to champions-elect Wigan.

Some are no doubt putting two and two together regarding Nigel Adkins and his past connections with Scunny. The club holds a special place in his heart but he won’t wish to be viewed as a soft touch by the Bramall Lane crowd at the end of what's been a very underwhelming campaign for them. The 9/4 about the home win and 11/2 on Sheffield United to win to nil are the bets to be having here.
Sheffield United to win - 1pt @ 9/4
Sheffield United to win to nil - 1pt @ 5/1