Three fixtures make up our weekend Spanish La Liga Acca.
Atletico v Getafe – Saturday 12:00
Getafe have some tough away games to cope with in the second half of the season as they’re yet to travel to a side above Girona in 10th. They’ve fared well at home against the big boys though, conceding just seven in nine games as the ‘Big Two’ were the only sides to score more than once, both scoring two. Five of their eight road matches have had fewer than three goals and as Atletico are yet to start firing on all cylinders in their new stadium we could be in for a cagey affair. Indeed, although they’re unbeaten in the league at the Wanda Metropolitano, six of Atleti’s seven encounters have had no more than two goals. Furthermore, key midfielders Koke and Saul Niguez – who had started every game this season – are unavailable. In the three games without the former this term, Under 2.5 Goals has landed every time.
Athletic Bilbao v Alaves – Sunday 17:30
On the surface, Athletic Bilbao’s W2-D4-L2 record at home this season doesn’t suggest they deserve to be 1.67 favourites, but they’re yet to host a side from the bottom half of the table. In the previous two seasons the Basque club won 16 of 20 unbeaten matches against such opposition, so their price is understandable. For a bit more value though, we’ll look to back the hosts in the win to nil market. Despite hosting the best teams in La Liga, Bilbao have conceded just five times in eight matches, keeping five clean sheets along the way. This new found defensive resilience should be to too much for Alaves – the division’s second-lowest scorers. Indeed, Abelardo Fernandez’s side have lost six of their eight road games this term, failing to score in five of these defeats.
Villarreal v Deportivo – Sunday 17:30
Villarreal won impressively at the Mestalla to make it back-to-back successes having previously gone four without a victory. They’ve lost their last two at home, but these were against quality opposition in Barcelona and Sevilla, and they’d previously won four of five unbeaten matches against much weaker opposition. Indeed, since the start of 2015/16 the Yellow Submarine have gone W12-D2-L1 hosting bottom-six sides, conceding just six times across these and winning by at least two clear goals in nine. Deportivo, meanwhile, have gone W2-D9-L16 on the road since the start of last season and if we exclude opponents that were in the bottom-three at the time, then this away record is a truly awful W0-D5-L15. The opposition covered the -1 handicap in nine of those defeats and we marginally prefer this to the home win to nil as Depor have a host of defensive injuries and suspensions to deal with.