Mike Holden fancies the Seagulls to take an early foothold in the live Friday night clash.
Brighton v Nottingham Forest - Friday 19:45, Sky Sports 1
Brighton made 11 changes in the EFL Cup in midweek and served up an impressive show of strength as they put four goals past Colchester on an evening when seven other Championship clubs were dumped out by lower league opposition. So the Seagulls ought to be fresh for the visit of Philippe Montanier’s men, who left it late to dispose of Doncaster.
Montanier made nine changes at the Keepmoat, recalling the likes of Jamie Ward, Jamie Paterson and David Vaughan, all of whom featured little in pre-season due to their involvement at Euro 2016. And Ward struck the decisive goal in stoppage time as Forest secured a 2-1 win, leaving his new manager with plenty still to ponder in his search to establish his strongest 11.
Chris Hughton knows exactly where he stands and Albion should be just as commanding as they were last season when completing a televised league double over the Reds. Take the 2/1 available on the Brighton/Brighton half-time/full-time outcome. It’s a bet they landed in 10 of their 15 home wins last season.
Games at the Amex tend to follow a distinct and predictable pattern. The Seagulls try to swoop early, seize the initiative and then slow it down after the interval. Indeed, the first-half to be highest scoring landed in 14 of their 23 home matches last term, including five times when Albion were thwarted, so that looks great value at 5/2.