Ipswich v Aston Villa - Saturday 15:00
Aston Villa’s mental fragility shows no signs of letting up. The Villans conceded a late equaliser for the second time in four days - and third home game in succession - against Brentford on Wednesday. Unlike the 2-2 draw with Nottingham Forest last Sunday, though, they could have no complaints about luck deserting them against the Bees.
Roberto Di Matteo’s men now sit 17th with a zero goal difference, having squandered nine points from a winning position. Had they closed out all four matches in which they were ahead, they would joint-top on 16 points with Huddersfield. Eventually, there comes a point when that wastefulness haunts them with a performance devoid of any real purpose.
Ipswich aren’t the team they were two years ago but remain as gritty as anybody and the home win is value at 15/8 or better. If the visitors are feeling sorry for themselves and come up short for desire, the Tractor Boys will sense the opportunity and grind them into submission - just as they did when eking out a 1-0 win at Derby in midweek.
An additional bet on Ipswich to win 2-0 at 20/1 is also recommended. Villa’s underlying quality is found in their capacity to score first - six times in the last seven matches. In Suffolk, though, we could witness the other side of that coin. If Ipswich make the breakthrough, they might be surprised at just how straightforward the remainder of the contest becomes.