Cardiff v Brighton - Saturday 15:00

Paul Trollope, now assistant at Brighton, returns to the club where he started the season as manager and one assumes he has enough inside knowledge on the players he left behind to give Chris Hughton an edge in the tactical battle. In a season where the Seagulls are routinely turning the smallest of margins in their favour, this ought to be a big advantage.

Too much is being made of the impact Neil Warnock has had in the Welsh capital. In the past six weeks, the Bluebirds have only beaten out-of-sorts Huddersfield, aided by some slack marking at set pieces the like of which you wouldn’t expect them to benefit from here. Wigan were managerless at the time of winning the last game at the Cardiff City Stadium prior to that.

So the case for the away win at 6/4 is a pretty solid one. Albion are 20 points ahead of the Bluebirds after 18 matches and boast a goal difference superior by 29. They’ve won seven out of nine matches against bottom-half opposition and head into this clash unbeaten in 12, whereas the home side are 1-3-7 against teams in the top half.

So this ought to be a routine afternoon for the visitors and a bet on the Brighton 2-0 correct score at 11/1 is also advised. The first goal will be crucial to the pattern of the game, as always, but the Seagulls have only conceded three times in 583 minutes when ahead and last week’s 2-1 victory over Fulham was evidence of their battling qualities if they do fall behind.

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Brighton to win - 1pt @ 6/4
Brighton 2-0 correct score - 1pt @ 11/1