Wigan v Derby - Saturday 15:00
New managers Warren Joyce and Steve McClaren have both made a difference in their respective roles, bringing fresh ideas and vibrancy to teams who were aimless before their arrival. But with ample evidence now available for the video analysts to illustrate how they go about their business, this could be the game where both sides revert to type.
Based on the respective shot data over the first 18 matches, this fixture has an extremely low total goals expectancy (1.56) and half-time scorethe draw should be no bigger than 13/8. Even if you weight those numbers heavily in favour of what’s occurred in the past few weeks, you still don’t get close to the 23/10 quotes available on the stalemate here.
Wigan were 2-1 winners in the televised clash with Huddersfield on Monday night but spent the vast majority of the contest camped on the edge of their own 18-yard box. Adventurous though McClaren has been in his attempts to revive Derby’s attacking fortunes of late, he’s not daft and he won’t give Joyce the satisfaction of playing straight into his hands.
The Latics have a duty to show a little more ambition in front of their own fans but ultimately Joyce believes the pace of Yanic Wildschut on the counter to be their best attacking weapon. It could lead to a very cagey encounter and there’s additional value in the 15/2 available on no goalscorer. It’s no bigger than 6/1 on my tissue.£10 Free Credit and a £500 Deposit Bonus