Northampton v MK Dons - Sunday 12:00, Sky Sports 1

Karl Robinson suggested “a lack of respect” for League One has been the root cause of his team conceding cheap first-half goals in consecutive home games against Millwall, Bradford and Peterborough, MK claiming just one point having fallen 2-0 behind in all three matches. The problem is an eagerness to attack without due consideration for the opposition, according to Robinson.

The Dons have been fairly diligent on the road, though, keeping clean sheets that have paved the way for late winners at Shrewsbury and Rochdale. And Robinson’s call about learning how to play at this level again only strengthens the case for them to approach the game with renewed discipline at Sixfields and there’s value in the 4/1 on MK Dons to win to nil.

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Northampton have earned the monicker ‘Drawthampton’ after finishing after finishing their first five League One matches all-square. A 3-0 home defeat to Wycombe in the Checkatrade Trophy on Tuesday ended a run of seven straight draws over 90 minutes in all competitions and they have been verging on the side of defeat rather than victory in terms of shot data.

The Cobblers are operating on a 42 per cent shot ratio up to this point, which creates a mystery around why the Dons (52 per cent) are considered outsiders for this game. The 19/10 about the away win isn’t quite as exciting as the 23/4 about the Draw/MK Dons half time/full time option, though. This isn’t a formality by any means, but the Dons should edge it in the end.

Click here for more information about Mike Holden’s shot-based ratings system

MK Dons to win to nil - 1pt @ 4/1
Draw/MK Dons half time/full time - 1pt @ 23/4