Swindon v Bolton - Saturday 13:00
Phil Parkinson's honeymoon period at Bolton is over. Four straight wins at the beginning of the season had Wanderers fans believing in a brighter future but a seven-match winless run (D4 L3) has subsequently stoked up pent-up anger and frustration of last season. Back to back defeats against Rochdale and Oxford last week were both greeted by a chorus of boos.
It's tempting to believe that such dismay might provoke a reaction, and Parkinson certainly appears to be angling at one by publicly suggesting the players are letting the fans down. But their lack of spark is a big problem. Bolton have created very little over several weeks now and it's possible that confidence has been drained by Parkinson's pragmatism.
Swindon aren't the sort of team anyone would be in a rush to get with but beneath the mediocrity of their season so far, the numbers aren't so bad. Yes, they have a negative supremacy. Yes, they are bottom-half material. But no, they are not relegation fodder. They are nowhere near as bad as the market is consistently making out.
The absence of a standout result or performance from the Wiltshire club might be considered a source of encouragement - perhaps one is overdue. All things considered, the home win looks a decent bet at 11/5 and the Swindon 2-0 correct score at 16/1 should also be considered. Bolton's lack of inventiveness is essentially what we're banking on.