Gillingham v Charlton - Saturday 15:00
Charlton wasted numerous chances to seal at comfortable win at Port Vale in midweek and paid the price when a clumsy challenge from Harry Lennon enabled the home side to steal a point from the penalty spot late on. But there was little else wrong with the performance and we should expect Russell Slade to stick with the 4-1-4-1 formation that has worked well on the road lately.
If that proves to be the case, then there’s big value in backing Fredrik Ulvestad to find the target again. The 24-year-old Norwegian international occupies a central midfield role and the system demands he bombs forward to join Josh Magennis in attack at every opportunity, so take the 18/1 first goalscorer price on the Burnley man and also back the anytime scorer bet at 11/2.
With just two wins between them since the start of September, neither team can really be trusted in the match betting, although team news does encourage a slight leaning towards the Addicks with Jason Pearce, missing in midweek, set to return at centre back and Josh Wright, the kingpin of Gillingham’s midfield, suspended after picking up a fifth yellow card.
Justin Edinburgh has been craving a settled side for weeks but has continually had to chop and change, while his tendency to tinker with formations according to the personnel available doesn’t always help his cause. In the past month or so, the Gills have alternated between a diamond, 3-5-2 and 4-2-3-1 but it doesn't alter their tendency to commit individual errors.