Wycombe v Crewe - Tuesday 19:45
Gareth Ainsworth set a new benchmark for Wycombe two seasons ago when he guided them to a play-off final at Wembley, having occupied an automatic promotion spot for much of the campaign. But that was with a team containing Matt Ingram, Alfie Mawson and Fred Onyedinma. Without them, the Chairboys dropped nine places last season, finishing 13th.
If Ainsworth thought he could get back into play-off contention this time around, the early signs suggest he’s mistaken. Wanderers are roughly back at the level they were at when he first took over, if only a little more savvy and professional. Their game management is better than most but a 38 per cent shot ratio after nine games reflects a lack of quality.
A run of four defeats in five games against top-eight opposition (conceding 11 goals in the process) leaves them fourth from bottom and they could be powerless to avoid a similar fate against fifth-placed Crewe. The Railwaymen have made a solid start, tasting defeat just once in nine matches, and the away win looks value at 19/10. The visitors ought to be favourites.
Presumably, the absence of Alex Kiwomya has played some part in the layers being frosty towards Crewe. The Chelsea loanee is a big miss but as a winger, he’s hardly a deal breaker in the context of this game. With a total goals expectancy of just 2.31, the Crewe 2-0 correct score at 15/1 is also worthy of consideration.