With four wins and four second places this year alone, the 12/1 about Spieth is far too tempting.
The field is down to 70 which will then be cut to 30 for next weeks Tour Championship. Sunday will be a nervous time for those around the bubble as making the final 30 for the final event is a huge achievement. They will all be jostling for position to give themselves a chance of the huge bonus prizes available next week. Jason Day is understandably favourite considering his recent form. He showed at the Barclays than he can reign his length in and play a more conservative approach to win events so we can't rule him out here. However I feel the next two in the market are more value.
I find it hard to see past McIlroy and Spieth this week. I have waited until now to send this preview out as I couldn't make my mind up with who to go with. It is not something I'm particularly fond of doing, backing two of the tournament favs, but they are both sitting at value prices and I'm afraid I can't separate them. Firstly, McIlroy may still be a shade rusty but I can't help from backing him at odds of 10/1 in this event. Double figures is too big. He finished with a final round 66 in the Deutsche Bank where he finally got his putting stroke worked out. That score was only beaten by one player in the field so it demonstrates that his game may be about to catch fire. In an event that he has won before and posted a top 10, albeit on different venues that this one, I feel 10/1 is a price worth taking. The firmer course certainly gives the better golfer more of a chance of overhauling the others, and in a field of only 70 golfers with half of them not really counting, we'll have a decent bet. His high ball flight should be ideal for coping with the firmer greens. What I distinctly remember about Conway Farms in 2013 is the fact that approach shots are paramount. Getting as close to the flags as possible is where you will make your scores. There is barely anybody in the game better than Rory at this, and so long as his putter behaves itself he should be right in the mix. He has notched two first round leads in this event at four attempts, and with the limited field I feel the 16/1 on offer is plenty big enough to have a small bet.