We have two strong favs at the head of the market. McIlroy goes down to post at a top price of 5/1. He certainly hasn't been firing on all cylinders and it surprises me he turns up here for the start of the new season. I'd look to the Far East before getting involved with Rory and the price of 5/1 around a track which on the face of it doesn't suit his game doesn't interest an awful deal. Justin Rose around 10/1 appeals slightly more as he tends to win one of these events almost every year. He too though has failed to convince me he is in some serious form and I'd need a few extra points before getting involved. We've got three selections to go war with in this event.
Ryan Moore rates our top selection this week even though it is not without risk. He just fell short of qualifying for the Tour Championship season finale having finished in the top 30 in the BMW. Previous to that he had two missed cuts having posted a top ten finish at the Wyndham. A 5th placed finish earlier in the season at the Valspar might just suggest he likes this kind of test more than what we think. A big part of the reason in backing him this week is his form around this time of year. He won the Wyndham late August 2009, won the Shriners in October 2012 before winning the CIMB two years on the trot in October 2013 and November 2014. He clearly likes this time of year and this is where he earns his crust. He is on the 2nd or 3rd tier in terms of the quality of his golf compared to the best but with many who sit this time of year out this represents a decent opportunity for the plodding soul. Moore can putt well on fast greens also so the 66/1 available is more than tasty enough for me to gnaw at.