McIlroy heads the top of the market at a proportionate 9/2. This is his first journey to the event and he can not be ruled out on putting surfaces that should grant him some rest bite from what he has been used to lately. These greens aren't particularly tricky and should boost McIlroy's confidence ahead of the last few events of the calendar year. Whether the 9/2 is of any value is another question around a layout on which he has no experience. If you drive the ball well the course is quite inviting therefore Rory has every chance. Upwards of 20 under will no doubt be needed to have a chance here on Sunday and with plenty capable of shooting those scores I see little appeal in investing in the tournament jolly. Matt Fitzpatrick relentlessly tees it up again in his quest to get into the worlds top 50. He showed his class once again last week contending right to the death. Possibly a bit of mental fatigue played its part on Sunday afternoon in Hong Kong and I'll reluctantly pass the boy wonder up as I see others in the market a shade more value.
First up and seeking his third win of the season is Danny Willet. An impressive win in the Nedbank last year was followed up by his victory in Crans during the summer. With three other top 5 finishes this term Danny has been one of the hottest on tour. He lies second in the Race to Dubai and would have realistic ambitions of taking that title with some strong play over the next four weeks. This course probably rates as his best chance. A tree lined track that rewards long and straight driving. Danny is quite handy with his wedge also which will be important as this course is not overly long. He finished 4th here last year but it is worth noting that he was hospitalized at the start of that week with stomach problems and battled the pain all week to have a tilt at the title on Sunday. Bar a 3rd placed finish around a not too dissimilar track in Italy his recent form is quite modest. However, this course plays into his hands and with his Race to Dubai hopes I expect him to play well. His price is nothing better than fair, however outside of the favourite he is the most likely winner.