The Sheshan course in Shanghai plays host once again and it certainly is an interesting track. It has told us down the years that the bombers have enjoyed this test immensely however it is worth noting that many of the more accurate types have made the frame. Tim Clark was on the verge of winning last year before Bubba holed a miraculous bunker shot from greenside on 18. With the rolecall if winners consisting of Kaymer, Bubba, Dustin and Phil the thrill there is no doubting that hitting it long off the tee gives you a distinct advantage around here. I always find it interesting to look at the long hitting winners of events, even if the more accurate golfers are up there also. We can almost always conclude from this that on Sundays when the pressure is on, the stress of hitting longer iron shots into greens is telling. It may work up until crunch time, but on courses like these the bombers have that little advantage when it comes to getting across the line.
McIlroy goes down to the stalls at a top price of 6/1. Even though last weeks price of 9/2 was way off line and should have been bigger, I was expecting a shade bigger than 6/1 this week. On Monday I had decided to weigh in if we could get 8/1. He has every chance of winning and I can't find any chink in his armour this week but if the price isn't right we can't take part. A bout of food poisoning won't help his cause mind you as he may not be 100% on the tee on Thursday, however this could also spur him on as he loves a story. Spieth, Bubba and Dusty line up next. Spieth I expect to go a bit better than people might suggest as putting should be an important facet of the winners game this week. The price is thin also though. Bubba and Dusty are fair enough prices but I'll be looking elsewhere as other tempt me more.
First up is the German machine Martin Kaymer. He broke our hearts a number of weeks ago with a lacklustre display while streets clear in Italy on day four. There have been numerous occasions when Martin has wilted with a big lead so it's not ideal when supporting him. However he has won the best tournaments in the world and with one of these already under his belt I feel he is primed to make a serious challenge here this week. In five jaunts here he has been in the top ten four times and notched one victory. The 40/1 on offer has disappeared apart from the win only firms but quotes of 35/1 are more than tempting enough for us to have a serious wager. He was expected to do better by most at the Alfred Dunhill and in Portugal but these are the events where I look for a better performance from the lad. He certainly gets more motivated for these bigger events and with an excellent record in the Far East we'll make Kaymer our top bet this week.