I shall go no further than saying we'll be investing in the tournament fav this week. It's difficult to escape the chances of Matt Kuchar this week and considering the poor field I consider him a decent bet in this company. He has posted four top tens in his last 7 starts, and that is not including the win he gained in Fiji a few weeks ago. The weather was horrendous in Fiji with some desperate scores being posted but Kuchar, all be it in a very weak field, won comfortably in the end. His ability in the wind is certainly of interest this week as he almost won the Scottish Open amidst burly conditions on Sunday also. He is in very decent form and should really take all the beating.
Considering Justin Rose is half his price in a much better field in Shanghai, this is certainly the more favourable jolly of the two. It is not an event for me to get too heavily involved with and the rest of the market makes little appeal. Brendan Steele is second fav this week and he has every chance considering some recent form. I wouldn't put anyone off having a small bet on him but the volatility of the event prevents me from betting him at the odds. The same explanation applies to a few others. Brendon Todd is interesting on a track he should go well around but two recent missed cuts on courses theoretically he should score on make him just about unbackable.
Taking Kuchar out of the equation it really is anybody's. There are events on tour that I tread very carefully with and this is one of them. There is no point going overboard on these trappy affairs and while many will pile into 5/6 selections for me it's a guessing game event. That being said, I do feel Kuchar is good value at 12/1 considering his credentials for this course and it'll be our only bet of the week in this event.