Charl Schwartzel lines up as 6/1 tournament fav and although the field here is relatively weak he's plenty short enough in my opinion. A stomach virus has ruled him out of the last number of weeks and getting over the line in any tournament always remains a chore for the former Masters champ. George Coetzee who lines up next in the market is a much fairer betting proposition.
13th in Joburg and 7th in Qatar have been pleasing results for the Pretorian born Coetzee. He had five months on the sidelines after breaking his ankle and his results weren't expected to be that good so soon. Two other cuts made have been a welcome return. This is Coetzee's home course and without doubt is the most likely victor here. He managed to get it around in 14 under par last year despite ranking 72nd in driving accuracy. He doesn't find many fairways and the fact that wayward drives won't be as badly punished as last year can only be a positive. He ranked 1st in scrambling last year and this will be the downfall if anything this year. His short game wasn't it's usual self for George last week on the pure surfaces in Dubai. Coetzee though performs better on these surfaces in South Africa and he has every chance of repeating last years success. His price is fair at best, but I do feel he should be tournament fav ahead of Schwartzel.