Niall Lyons picks out the value in the Northern Trust Open at the Riviera course.
The top of the market is very strong in the shape of Spieth and Mcilroy with the former just shading favouritism right now. Spieth finished a frustrating 4th here last year and could have easily won it. He comes here with some negatives surrounding his putting. What has always been his major strength is somehow letting him down right now. That being said a return to this type of course and these fast greens should help him out. However, I believe he is of little value considering how this year has gone so far. McIlroy has had similar frustrations. His putting woes continued in Dubai, and his long game wasn't in the best of nick either. He too will welcome the return to a classic style golf course, the type of which I believe Rory is suited to most of all. However he is hard to throw some cash on right now especially considering this is his first outing to Riviera. He may win this, but I'll be opting out just for now as others appeal slightly more at bigger prices.
18/1 rates fair odds for Dustin Johnson in a tournament he plays so well in. He started the year reasonably well with a 10th placed finish in the Hyundai followed by a top 20 in the Farmers. Last weeks average result is nothing to be worried about as it's a poor format for a lot of players and excuses can be drawn out. He definitely seems to play the tougher layouts better and his driving should give him the edge on plenty this week. The course is firm and he has demonstrated in plenty of major championships that he can perform on hard, fast ground, all be it yet to win one of those. His course form reads very well with two runner up spots and another two top 5 finishes. He was edged out in a playoff last year and even though he hasn't been firing on all cylinders just yet in 2015, the 18/1 offered is plenty enough for us to take the chance on.