Lucas Bjerregaard is one of three selections in Niall Lyons' Perth International preview.
Lake Karinnyup is the host course for the Perth International for the fourth year on the trot so we have a fair bit of knowledge about this course in the events infancy. It is a tree lined, classical layout which will reward good shot making. Although it is tree lined there is a bit of room to spray the ball off the tee and players can get away with a few errant drives. Bunkers are well placed around the greens and approach shots must be accurate enough to give yourself the best chances. The wind will almost certainly blow here to make conditions even tougher, although expect good scores nonetheless.
Louis Oosthuizen arrives here at the top of the betting market however he is a weak favourite in my eyes considering he hasn't teed it up here until now. Of course he could take to the course but it would be risky to invest in the former Open Champion with that in mind. Marcus Fraser tees it up here on the back of a win last week. He can be expected to go well considering the course should suit his tidy game. However, for somebody who has won once in the last six years quotes around 33/1 are of little interest. The next few in the market appeal a fair bit though.
We'll start with Lucas Bjerregaard
who had a decent week last week with a top 25 finish and a return to a course with slightly wider fairways should suit the Dane. He only hit 57% of fairways last week, but managed to position himself 2nd in the GIR tally at close to 80%. That bodes well for this where primarily it is a second shot golf course. Finishing one shot off the pace down a tree lined Italian course last Summer, and a runner up sot in Hong Kong demonstrates that these type of courses suit Lucas and this is where we should act. Considering his price of 30/1, this is one of the best bets I've seen thus far in 2016. Hopefully the putter gets hot as we will need it to. Mid teens looks like the number this week and with a bit of luck with the draw (wind likely) the price could look huge come Sunday morning.
Lucas Bjerregaard - 2.5pts e/w @ 30/1Lost -5pts
We'll be staying at the top of the market for this weeks bets and our second selection comes in the shape of the enigmatic Frenchman Victor Dubuisson
. My reason for backing him here may be somewhat flawed (we'll know by the weekend) but I'm confident he will play well. First of all lets point out that his two wins at the Maxx Royal in Turkey have similar conditions to what he'll face this week. Tree lined with a bit of room off the tee, and strategically placed bunkering. He finished 2nd here last year and therein lies my main reason for investing. He really does seem to be a horses for courses type golfer. He has won on the same course in Turkey twice. A 2nd and a 3rd at the Earth course in Dubai. Three top tens in Qatar. He seems to be able to reel off results at the same venues and I'm more than prepared to take the chance that he follows up last years second to Olesen. Again, another solid bet.
Victor Dubuisson - 2pts e/w @ 16/1Lost -4pts
Finally we'll have a saver on last years champ Thorbjorn Olesen
. He won here quite impressively last year and once again backed up his ability to go low in windy conditions. His win in Sicily was amidst the wind as was his success last Summer in the Alfred Dunhill LInks. He has all the skills to play well around here and I'm quite annoyed with myself that I didn't pick up on this last year. A 2nd place in Qatar was backed up by a top ten in Dubai. Last weeks missed cut can be struck off as it's a course that doesn't allow him any elbow room off the tee. He isn't the straightest of drivers so will welcome the return to Lake Karinnyup. His price of 20/1 is only fair, hence why it'll be small win only stake to come out with profit should he do the business. I see little value in the rest of the field considering the credentials of the three I have mentioned.
Thorbjorn Olesen - 1pt @ 20/1Lost -1pts