Niall Lyons pinpoints the value in this week's True Thailand Classic at Black Mountain GC.
Joost Luiten arrives as a somewhat weak favourite. He hasn't played an awful lot of golf lately and although he has a lot of talent at his disposal, the chasing pack is certainly not to be sniffed at. Local lad Jaidee holds favouritism in many of the books this week and comes with every chance. Those two are propped up by some very decent challenger in the shape of Aphibarnrat, Pieters and Uihlein who just missed out a few weeks ago. It is not the easiest tournament to predict so we will tread somewhat lightly and go with a three pronged attack.
First up there is no doubting for me the best bet of the week in this tournament and that is Kiradech Aphibarnrat. Shenzhen and Malaysia have been the scenes of two of his wins and the soaring heat here in Thailand will no doubt play into his hands. The wind does get up here also so his decent record around links tracks can not to be negative. He finished 4th in this event last year and I can't see him not contending again given his pedigree. Bar the top dozen the field is quite weak and I fully expect the winner to come from the top 20 or so in the market. I like the way the Barnrat attacks a golf course and I believe that may be the difference in just contending or winning this week.