Cabrera Bello arrives here in the form of his life and despite the course not really suiting his game he holds every chance of appearing towards the top of the leaderboard on Sunday. All parts of his game are in great nick but I can't have the price of around 14/1. I'd be looking for more, especially considering the pressure he would be under on Sunday in his home country. Soren Kjeldsen is another whose one win in the last twelve months isn't a fair reflection of how he has been playing. He maybe deserves another although his putting certainly lets him down under pressure at times. He putted well at Augusta and he could go well again, however he is another who I can't support at the price of 16/1.
Everything points towards a big week for Sergio Garcia. In quite a weak field here I believe he has shown enough of late to be a class above these. A win in the Open De Espana back in 2002 was a long time ago for Serg and he'll be looking to improve on that record on a course he is quite familiar with. In the WGC Cadillac years here in 1999 and 2000 Garcia finished 7th and 5th on both occasions.
In 2011 he won the Andalucia Masters here at Valderrama so clearly this is one of the courses on tour more suited to his game. Wins at the Wyndham and Crans Sur Sierre in the past back up what we already know about Garcia's prowess around the tighter tracks. A made cut at a very tough Masters is certainly a positive.
Six top20 finishes in his last nine events, most in the States show us that Garcia is certainly hitting form at the right time. With the Ryder Cup only a few months away who would back against Sergio making a serious charge for the team. I would have preferred a point or two more in the price in all honesty but I feel is a very worthy bet this week.
He is a classy operator on his day and has a silky putting touch which is no doubt required on these greens. 25/1 is more than fair for somebody who has a lot of prestigious titles tucked away. His inconsistency will plague him all his career I'd say, but when he comes to suitable venues at prices like this he must be supported.