As ever we are looking for which type of golfer is suited to this test and I've identified the East London venue for the Africa Open as one to keep a close eye on. At first inspection this course does indeed resemble a lot of the South African courses we have visited down the years. When we look at results there seems to be a correlation also. Louis Oosthuizen who finished second here in 2010 has twice won at East London. Thomas Aiken who won around East London in 2014 shot -18 last time here at Dar Es Salam to finish 3rd. David Horsey, 3rd at East London in 2014 shot a respectable -8 total in 2010. In a tournament which has a very weak field I think this link may prove to be pivotal in finding a few contenders.
Alex levy and Alejandro Canizares head the market this week and in a weak field will surely be fancied by many to contend. Both have been playing decent golf of late and if I had to side with one of them I'd go for Canizares as the course should require a degree more of shotmaking technique which should suit him. Either way I see a shade more value the further I go down the field.
My top selection was planning on being David Horsey however following a recent knee operation I can't be guaranteed he will show up here in peak fitness. His record in Morocco is super and I wouldn't be surprised to see him up there again. Gregory Bourdy shows up here among a very weak field and even though his price is slightly on the skinny side I am going to favour him as my top bet this week. Four recent consistent efforts means he turns up here in decent enough form and I feel he'll fancy taking this prize home. The fact he has posted a 20th placed finish and a runner up spot at East London is enough to suggest to me that he has the tools to take on this course. He isn't one to be relied upon heavily in contention, but little are in this field this week. He is certainly a better betting prospect than the two tournament jollies and for me rates the most likely winner in the field.