Our tipster thinks Daniel Berger looks a cracking Wells Fargo Championship bet at 45/1.
We return to Quail Hollow this week for the 2016 renewal of the Wells Fargo
. This tournament has gained quite a reputation since it began in 2003 and usually proves to be a very entertaining four days. Rory McIlroy has won this event twice now in fine fashion and is slowly becoming a course specialist. He was beat in a playoff back in 2012 also so must hold every chance this week. It is an interesting venue which demands accuracy off the tee but length clearly is an advantage. McIlroy and Mickelson have dominated the placings here down the years and they can be seen as US Open specialists, despite Phil not having won one. Big hitter JB Holmes has also tasted victory around here. Wins for Furyk, Fowler, Glover and Toms though definitely show us that accuracy of the tee is a must. You can overpower it with length possibly, but those keeping it on the straight and narrow will no doubt hold an advantage on the rest.
McIlroy is understandable jolly here around the 4/1-9/2 mark but for me holds little appeal on form. Personally I can put a line through Augusta as that course simply does not suit him. Despite all that is written about it, he lacks the finesse and distance control to contend on a regular basis there. A return to the more classical style golf course in Quail Hollow will be welcomed. He could easily tee it up here in fine form and romp this tournament once again but I'm not prepared to take that risk. Form has been very patchy in the last few months and the pre-Augusta preparation didn't exactly go to plan. As I said he could play well and the price is fair enough, but I won't be taking the risk.
In what is a very tricky event to judge and not the easiest to bet in I am going to side with Daniel Berger
once again this week. He did not benefit from all the delays last week and I suspect his rhythm was interrupted. Half way through round two he was absolutely on fire before fading light put a halt to his progress. He failed to gather momentum for the next 27 holes and slipped slightly out of contention. He finished 28th here on debut at Quail Hollow last year and I feel that is a decent effort. He has only been out of the top 30 once in his last six events and the top ten posted at Augusta shows this lads class. Plenty will desert him after not doing the business last week but he certainly had excuses. A classy golfer worthy of a solid bet.
Daniel Berger - 1pt e/w @ 45/1Lost -2pts
Our second selection will be Justin Thomas
. He posted an even better finish with a 7th spot last year at his first outing at Quail Hollow. He finally got off the mark in the CIMB Classic towards the end of last year and can be expected to kick on. It was around this time last year where he began to string a number of results together and he holds every chance of playing well again here this week. He has the length to captalise on this course. There is no doubting as I said before that both bombers and more accurate golfers can play well here. Thomas fits into the former category and with question marks surrounding plenty of the more experienced towards the top of the field I'm more than prepared to support another one of the games up and coming talents.
Justin Thomas - 1pt e/w @ 70/1Lost -2pts
One I will risk, and it is a risk, is Kevin Kisner
. I always keep him in mind for these type of tests and a decent performance around here in 2013 is enough to make me invest this time around. I consider him to be a golfer of high quality and these types of test suit him best. He has certainly disappointed of late though. No higher than 23rd in his last seven tournaments is not the form I expected of him coming into a crunch time of year. However it must be noted some of those courses aren't exactly up his street. He hits a mighty straight ball when on form and although his form is erratic I'll have a small wager.
Kevin Kisner - 0.5pts e/w @ 66/1Lost -1pts
On similar lines I'll have another very risky bet in the shape of Luke Donald
. I say risky as his record around here is surprisingly awful. I have been impressed by how he is hitting the ball lately and the 80/1 might just look a shade big come Sunday evening. He finished 2nd at the Heritage and was a tad unlucky to come up against an inspired Branden Grace on day four there. His swing and ball striking lately have been as close to what they were when he was world number one and although he may have problems closing out an event I feel he is worthy of a small punt.
Luke Donald - 0.5pts e/w @ 80/1Lost -1pts