The week after a major can always be a tough one to judge and the Canadian Open held once again at Glen Abbey is no easy task. It is a short enough track which allows the more strategic players to figure on the leaderboard but more often than not it is the bigger hitters who tend to post the better scores. It is a tight enough track but certainly not that tough off the tee as Jason Day showed last year when he only hit 37% of fairways on route to victory. The main aspect of the game that is needed this week is distance control. The greens are quite small which means approach shots need to be accurate distance wise. Par 5 scoring will play a huge part, and you'll need to be ten under plus at least on those holes to make a charge here this week.
Dustin Johnson and Jason Day form a fair part of the market this week and I for one don't believe it is warranted. Jason Day, although the defending champ is far from at his best right now. He is struggling with the putter and that won't be good heading to a venue you need to score very well on. Dustin Johnson is in slightly better shape and of the two I'd fancy him to beat Day in a match bet. With both players going four days in Scotland last week and with the PGA following closely next week I don't believe they thought out their schedule very well at the beginning of the year. I've got a hunch that neither will be too bothered about this event with the big one at Baltusrol to come next week.
Bar our top selection we'll be keeping stakes somewhat small as many will be tired after last weeks test, and with another to come next week may not be in the frame of mind to go deep into four days at Glen Abbey. One who should be capable of rising to the occasion is Matt Kuchar. Matty has finished 2nd and 7th here at Glen Abbey in 2013 and 2015 and has a 4th placed finish at a different venue sandwiched in between. He clearly likes this tournament and his solid wedge game means he can compete around here with the big dogs. He is in some form right now also. Taking out the last two majors (he made the cut in both but finished half way down the field) his form in his last five events read 3-3-6-4-3. Along with Dustin Johnson that is the best form on tour right now and he certainly looks to building towards a victory. Many will consider his price not juicy enough as his win rate is slightly less than it should be given the amount of times he is in contention, but Matt is heading for another win anytime soon and this looks as good a place as any.
I may be absolutely mad to bet this lad, and I'll be open to criticism should he bounce but considering his form heading here I believe his game should be suited to the test if playing well. Robert Garrigus' form here reads WD-WD-MC-MC. Not exactly the form you'd like when punting somebody. And this is a punt. Nevertheless, Garrigus can hit the ball a long way and at his best has a decent wedge game also. He has only win on tour, but given this is a week where many golfers will be fatigued and/or got their mind on next week, this may just represent an opportunity for someone like Garrigus to enter the frame. This is the best form he has been in in a long time after a very dodgy start to the year. 4th at the Byron Nelson was followed up by 8th in the Quicken Loans and tied 11th at the Barbasol last week. 6 tournaments on the trot he has made the money which will be a welcome relief. With some money earned and the shackles off I'll take the risk that Robert can score well at big odds.
Finally, another fella in very decent form who could relish this opportunity is Emiliano Grillo. A top 15 at the Memorial was followed by a made cut at the tough Oakmount before posting top 15 finishes at the Bridgestone and The Open. Grillo has already managed a victory this season at the Frys and he could be in the form to notch another. He will never do it easy and could find plenty of trouble on his travels but there's no doubting he has a solid game. He shot an opening 64 here last year and posted a top 25 finish on debut. Unfortunately we have missed some of the juicier prices about him but we'll have a small investment at 33s.