There are three golfers that Niall Lyons is hanging his hat on this week.
The 2017-2018 WGC rota ends this week with the usual jaunt to Shanghai and the Sheshan GC for the HSBC Champions. An event that many have skipped down the years and a few have become part of the furniture.
This year there is no shortage of stars as Johnson, Rose, McIlroy and Koepka make the trip and thankfully only a couple who need to make the trip from the groundhog weekend that was Valderamma. Dustin Johnson blew a sizeable lead here last year to succumb to Justin Rose's advances.
Previous to that we've seen the likes of Matsuyama, Knox, Watson and Poulter winning here so we can conclude any type of game can translate here. Bombers seem to have the upper hand in general with more winners being bracketed in that category.
Not much separates the top 3 in the market and just like last week I believe Koepka is a shade underestimated again. He is jolly in my eyes and double the price of Thomas last week didn't look quite right as I wrote. It is hard to separate these three regardless and all three have their chances.
Dustin looks more capable than most on this track and really should have two wins around this track. If he arrives with his game in decent shape he may be hard to beat.
I'll look further on down this week for my bets and having rallied impressively last week to a 3rd placed finish I think RAFA CABRERA-BELLO (best price 40-1) is worth supporting. He travels well to the Far East and beyond and now has a formidable record. He has a win and a runner up in Dubai, a 2nd and two 3rds in Qatar, a runner up in Hong Kong and then lastly that 3rd placed spot last week at the CJ Cup. He is not afraid of going low which is what you need here and his length off the tee will play to his advantage all week. Rose, Watson and Molinari have all had their putting troubles down the years and shown you can win around here, a bracket that Bello would fall into. 68-69-68-70-70-72 are consistent enough rounds for his last six here and with the two 65s he finished with last weekend he should brimming with confidence. I've said before he will reach another level soon enough and with his record in the Far East I think the 40/1 out there is a tasty price.
With temperatures not set to get too high this week it could be set up for a European winner who is more used to making low scores in chillier conditions. There are always a handful of players that produce the goods when they travel to the Far East and MATT FITZPATRICK (best price 50-1) is one who has racked up a few good finishes. He won in Dubai and has another four top 5s across Dubai, Abu Dhabi and Hong Kong.
I mentioned the temperature and with two wins in Crans, and chilly weather wins In Sweden and England he may just be one of the more equipped candidates here. 9-16-7 in his last three years here is enough to suggest he could be there or thereabouts and a win only three starts ago suggest he has a bit underestimated in the market.
LUCAS BJERREGAARD (best price 80-1) career is beginning to take flight and having won at the Dunhill Links where low scores in colder conditions are the name of the game he may just go that little bit further and land his first WGC title. He is long off the tee and will appreciate the room here to open his shoulders.
Once again he is one I look to who has racked up some form far from home. Runner up in Hong Kong is one performance worthy of note. More so though he has finished 3rd and 6th in the China Open and 3rd in the BMW Masters also in China. That China form has to be recognised and given his current run of form I'd make him closer to the 50/1 mark.