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NFL Draft Odds: Kenny Pickett and Malik Willis Fighting to be QB1

Who will be the first quarterback taken? Kyle Newman breaks it all down for the 2022 NFL Draft.
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NFL Draft Odds: Kenny Pickett and Malik Willis Fighting to be QB1

As the season rolled the 2022 quarterback class became more and more unimpressive. As things stand now, reports have compared this class to the Ponder, Gabbert, Locker class of 2011. So, it’s encouraging that some of the QBs seem to be separating from the pack and establishing themselves. At least that’s what oddsmakers see happening with Kenny Pickett and Malik Willis.

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Pickett is the current favorite to be the first quarterback off the board. He’s given +120 odds, or an implied 45.5% chance to be QB1. Willis is right on his tail though at +150, or an implied 40% chance to be the first quarterback selected.

They really don’t have much competition. Oddsmakers are giving Sam Howell +600 odds, or an implied 14.3% chance. Matt Corral has fallen far behind everyone else at +1000, or an implied 9.1% chance. No other quarterback is given better than +4000 odds.

The choice between Pickett and Willis will almost certainly come down to what team is looking for a QB at the draft. If a team wants an older, more developed QB that’s ready to take the field today, but may not get much better they will go with Pickett. If they’re willing to take a chance on elite physical traits and wait a while for the rest of the game to develop, Willis is going to be their guy. It’ll all depend on what situation the team taking the first quarterback is in.

OddsQuarterbackImplied chance
+120Kenny Pickett45.5%
+150Malik Willis40%
+600Sam Howell14.3%
+1000Matt Corral9.1%

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A PR Associate at @OddsCheckerUS. Available for Podcasts, Radio, and TV. Quoted in Forbes, Chicago Tribune, Sports Illustrated, and more.


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