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2022 NFL Draft Odds: Oddsmakers' Mini-Mock NFL Draft 2.0

It’s NFL Draft Week and boy do the odds look different now than they did three weeks ago. Only three picks in the top-10 are the same as they were, and only one of the top-5 picks is the same. So how did things change?
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2022 NFL Draft Odds: Oddsmakers' Mini-Mock NFL Draft 2.0

It’s NFL Draft Week and boy do the odds look different now than they did three weeks ago. Only three picks in the top-10 are the same as they were, and only one of the top-5 picks is the same. So how did things change?

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1. Jacksonville Jaguars – Travon Walker, EDGE, Georgia

Three weeks ago Aidan Hutchinson was a lock here. Oddsmakers gave him -300 odds, or an implied 75% chance to be the pick. Now, he’s given +150 odds, or an implied 40% chance.

Replacing him as the new favorite is Travon Walker. Walker’s rise has been one of the most amazing things to watch this offseason. Three weeks ago he was given +325 odds, or an implied 23.5% chance to be the pick. Now with just days to go, Walker is given -155 odds, or an implied 60.8% chance.

ProspectOdds on 4/3/2022Odds Today
Travon Walker+325-155
Aidan Hutchinson-300+150
Ikem Ekwonu+1000+600

2. Detroit Lions – Aidan Hutchinson, EDGE, Michigan

Oddsmakers were so sure that Hutchinson was going to go No. 1 earlier this month that Hutchinson wasn’t even given odds to go No. 2. Now, he’s EVEN or an implied 50% chance to be the pick. He’s followed by Oregon star Kayvon Thibodeaux who’s also seen a strong rise in his odds. Going from +450 to +200 in recent weeks.

The biggest faller here is without a doubt Malik Willis. The Liberty QB was given +235 odds to be the pick at No. 2, but he’s now given +1000 odds. That’s a change from a 29.9% chance to a 9.1% chance to be the pick.

ProspectOdds on 4/3/2022Odds Today
Aidan HutchinsonN/AEVEN
Kayvon Thibodeaux+450+200
Malik Willis+235+1000

3. Houston Texans – Sauce Gardner, CB, Cincinnati

Former Jets GM and Dolphins VP of Football Ops Mike Tannenbaum told OddsChecker, “Sauce Gardner, he’s a true Difference making corner”. Oddsmakers clearly feel the same, as they moved his odds from +800 to +350 over the last three weeks.

Don’t discount an OT here. Ikem Ekwonu went from +200 to +500, and Evan Neal went form +250 to +500 over the last three weeks. They’re not the favorites they once were, but they’re in play.

ProspectOdds on 4/3/2022Odds Today
Sauce Gardner+800+350
Ikem Ekwonu+200+500
Evan Neal+250+500

4. New York Jets – Kayvon Thibodeaux, EDGE, Oregon

Oddsmakers haven’t moved on this one. It’s been Thibodeaux to the Jets all the way. The Oregon edge rusher is given +175 odds to go fourth overall, a slight bump from his +200 odds three weeks ago.

However, his primary competition for the pick has changed. Ikem Ekwonu has gone from off the board to +600. Meanwhile, Jermaine Johnson has gone from +400 to +700 to be the pick.

ProspectOdds on 4/3/2022Odds Today
Kayvon Thibodeaux+200+175
Ikem EkwonuN/A+600
Jermaine Johnson+400+700

5. New York Giants – Ikem Ekwonu, OT, North Carolina State

This is a toss-up. Both Ekwonu and Neal are given +300 odds to be the pick here. Ekwonu gets the nod because oddsmakers have him as the favorite to be the first offensive tackle off the board.

Rumors have been backing Charles Cross here, but oddsmakers are wary. Cross is given +500 odds.

ProspectOddsImplied chance
Ikem Ekwonu+30025%
Evan Neal+30025%
Charles Cross+50016.7%

6. Carolina Panthers – Kenny Pickett, QB, Pittsburgh

This is another one that oddsmakers haven’t moved off of. Three weeks ago, the Panthers were given +150 odds to select Kenny Pickett, and today those odds are sitting at +200.

If they don’t go Pickett, oddsmakers believe the choice will come down to Malik Willis or Charles Cross, both are given +400 odds here.

ProspectOddsImplied chance
Kenny Pickett+20033.3%
Malik Willis+40020%
Charles Cross+40020%

7. New York Giants – Derek Stingley, CB, LSU

Oddsmakers have long had CB here, but it wasn’t Stingley. However, with Gardner off the bord that’s how the board has fallen.

Stingley is given +350 odds, or an implied 22.2% chance to be the pick here. Behind him is once again Charles Cross at +500, then Evan Neal at +600. Why is Cross ahead of Neal now, but not at No. 5? Oddsmakers think it’s more likely Cross gets to this pick with his over/under set at 7.5 and Neal’s at 5.5.

ProspectOddsImplied chance
Derek Stingley+35022.2%
Charles Cross+50016.7%
Evan Neal+60014.3%

8. Atlanta Falcons – Garrett Wilson, WR, Ohio State

Three weeks ago, this pick was Jermaine Johnson. Now the Florida State star is fifth on the odds market at +900. Meaning he’s not really in the conversation here. So who is?

It’s all offense here. Garrett Wilson leads the way at +500, but he’s quickly followed by Jameson Williams at +600. Malik Willis is also in play here at +600 as a potential replacement for Matt Ryan.

ProspectOddsImplied chance
Garrett Wilson+50016.7%
Jameson Williams+60014.3%
Malik Willis+60014.3%

9. Seattle Seahawks – Charles Cross, OT, Mississippi State

This feels like a classic case of overthinking. Oddsmakers feel so sure that Evan Neal won’t be here, that his odds are taking a hit. As a result, Cross ends up going first because Neal was never a favorite.

Cross is given +400 odds here, and Neal is +500. Jermaine Johnson is also in the background lurking at +800.

Don’t sleep on Jameson Williams at +1400 though. When OddsChecker asked Mike Tannenbaum who could be the surprise pick of the top-10 and where might he go, he responded, “Seattle – taking Jameson Williams taking him in the 10 top.”

ProspectOddsImplied chance
Charles Cross+40020%
Evan Neal+50016.7%
Jermaine Johnson+80011.1%

10. New York Jets – Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama

Speaking of Jameson Williams, the Alabama star is now expected to slot into the top-10. He’s given +300 odds, or an implied 25% chance to be the pick at 10.

His biggest competition is Drake London at +600, and Kyle Hamilton at +1000. Both star players who’s athletic testing left much to be desired, in London’s case because he chose not to do any.

ProspectOddsImplied chance
Jameson Williams+30025%
Drake London+60014.3%
Kyle Hamilton+10009.1%

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A PR Associate at @OddsCheckerUS. Available for Podcasts, Radio, and TV. Quoted in Forbes, Chicago Tribune, Sports Illustrated, and more.

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