US Election Odds: 65% Of Wagers On Donald Trump To Win The First Election Debate Despite Joe Biden Being Favorite

Donald Trump backed to win first debate despite Joe Biden being the betting favorite
Sam Eaton
Mon, September 28, 10:55 AM

US Election Odds: Donald Trump backed to win first debate despite Joe Biden being the betting favorite

It’s going to be a very busy week in the world of US election betting, with wagers expected to ramp up around the first US election debate tomorrow night. The first presidential debate between Donald Trump and Joe Biden is set to take place tomorrow night at Case Western Reserve University in Cleveland, Ohio.

The debate is scheduled to start at 9pm ET, and will be moderated by Chris Wallace. For people not used to election debates, the debate will go on for 90 minutes, and will be split into 15-minute segments on six different topics picked by Chris Wallace.

First US Presidential Election Debate Odds

The first US presidential election debate odds opened up back in August, and despite Joe Biden being the marginal favorite, the betting market was pretty easy.

However, since the marketing opened, Donald Trump’s first US Presidential election odds have since drifted pretty rapidly. The current President’s odds were 6/5 (+120) which implied he had a 45.5% chance of winning the first debate in Ohio. However, over the last month his odds have grown to 2/1 (+200), which implies he now has 33.3% chance.

As you’d expect, Joe Biden’s first US presidential election odds have moved the opposite way in the same time period. His odds opened up at 8/13 (-162) which implied he had a 61.9% chance. However, his odds have narrowed to 4/11 (-275) and now imply he has a 73.3% chance.

First US Presidential Election Debate Betting

Over the last week, Donald Trump has accounted for a massive 65% of all bets placed in the first US presidential debate betting market. Despite being the bookmakers overwhelming favorite, Joe Biden has accounted for 35% of bets in the same time period.

First US Presidential Election Debate Odds

Candidate

UK Odds

US Odds

Implied Probability

% Of Bets This Week

Joe Biden

4/11

-275

73.3%

35%

Donald Trump

2/1

+200

33.3%

65%

The first US Presidential Election debate betting market will be settled on CNN’s snap poll.

DraftKings $50,000 Presidential Election Debate Pool

Unfortunately, despite some US residents now being able to bet on sports, it’s not yet legal to bet on politics. However, it’s not all bad news as DraftKings are running a $50,000 pool for the first debate.

The 2020 Presidential Debate Pool is free-to-play, and users have a chance of winning $50,000 just by predicting events for the upcoming Presidential debates.

Click here to enter the DraftKings $50,000 Presidential Election Debate Pool

Here are what entrants need to predict:

  1. How will Joe Biden and Donald Trump first greet each other?
  2. Who will speak first?
  3. Who will say the word “China” first?
  4. Which former candidates will be mentioned first?
  5. Who will be mentioned first by name by either candidate?
  6. Will Donald Trump say the exact phrase "Law and Order" during the debate?
  7. Who will be mentioned first by either candidate?
  8. Who will mention Dr. Anthony Fauci first?
  9. Will Joe Biden mention his Corvette?
  10. How many of his children will Donald Trump mention by name during the debate?

Some users will be able to claim DraftKings $1,000 sign-up offer when they open an account. Click the offer below to claim the offer and enter the politics prize pool.

First US Presidential Election Debate Novelty Betting Markets

There are plenty of bookmakers around the world taking bets on the first US Presidential election debate, with each taking their own slant on market. One Australian bookmaker, are offering a 55/1 (+5500) on Joe Biden falls asleep during the debate, which implies there’s a 1.8% chance of this happening. To put those odds into perspective, the bookmaker thinks there’s more chance of Joe Biden falling asleep in the first debate then Philadelphia Eagles winning the Super Bowl.

Despite hand sakes being ill-advised in the current climate, the same Australian bookmaker are offering odds of 7/1 (+7000) on Joe Biden and Donald Trump greeting each other with a hand shake.

0Betslip

Almost there!

We are loading your bets, and they will be here in a second.