3 Best Home Run Prop Bets, Picks, and MLB HR Odds For Thursday, May 8
Thursday's MLB slate has nine solid games throughout the day, many of them series rubber matches ahead of the weekend refresh. Jason Radowitz gathers his 3 Best Home Run Prop Bets for Thursday, May 8th, featuring Rafael Devers and more.
Jason Radowitz - May 8, 2025, 7:22 AM EDT
4 min3 Best Home Run Prop Bets, Picks, and MLB HR Odds For Thursday, May 8
There are just nine games on tonight's MLB board, with a doubleheader between the Detroit Tigers and Colorado Rockies.
While there aren't many options for home run props tonight, I still found three worth taking a chance on. I'll discuss all three bets below!
Get your first month of oddschecker+ right now for just $0.99. Don't miss out on this early season MLB deal!
3 Best Home Run Prop Bets: Thursday, May 8
Trevor Larnach to Hit a Home Run (+560) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
The Twins and Orioles are set to play an early afternoon matchup today.
Dean Kremer will get the call for Baltimore. He's a right-handed pitcher who has allowed a .237 ISO and wOBA of .378 to his first 102 lefties this season. In addition, he's struck out only 11.8% of lefties and he's llowed 44.2% of hard contact with only 6.1% swinging strikes.
There aren't that many lefties who can handle business right now for the Twins. However, Trevor Larnach is one of them. Lrnach has hit a .173 ISO and wOBA of .336 with only 19.5% of strikeouts against righties over the last month. The left-hander has also hit 29.3% of line drives in the previous 30 days and added nearly 57% of hard contact against righties.
Let's give Larnach a go in one of the early games.
Rafael Devers to Hit a Home Run (+350) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Rafael Devers has smashed a .254 ISO and wOBA of .392 against his last 81 righties. He's smoked 36% of fly balls and 66% of hard contact, while hitting only 28% of ground balls against righties during that time.
Additionally, he's hit a team-leading 16% barrel percentage against righties this season and has added 66% of hard contact over the last month against righties.
Meanwhile, he'll take on Jack Leiter of the Texas Rangers. Leiter has allowed a .205 ISO and wOBA of .328 to his first 41 lefties this season. He's also struck out below 20% of lefties and has given up 29% of fly balls and 29% of line drives to lefties this year.
Leiter was just as bad against lefties last year, allowing a .216 ISO and a .368 wOBA, so this is a common theme for the youngster.
Give Devers a shot to launch one today.
Max Kepler to Hit a Home Run (+520) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Max Kepler has smashed a .206 ISO and wOBA of .376 with only 16% of strikeouts against right-handed pitching over the last month.
Kepler has also hit 33.9% of fly balls, 30.4% of line drives, and just 28.6% of ground balls against righties over the last 30 days. In addition, he's tattooed 66.1% of hard contact and has earned a 12.5% barrel percentage against righties in that same span.
Tonight, he'll go up against Ryan Pepiot of the Tampa Bay Rays. Pepiot has given up a .257 ISO and wOBA of .326 to his first 79 lefties this season. He's also allowed 10.1% of walks, proving he's falling behind left-handed batters regularly.
Beyond that, Pepiot has given up 46.2% of hard contact and nearly 29% of fly balls. Kepler has some real potential tonight.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Trevor Larnach to Hit a Home Run (+560) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best Orioles vs. Twins odds
- Rafael Devers to Hit a Home Run (+350) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best Rangers vs. Red Sox odds
- Max Kepler to Hit a Home Run (+520) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best Phillies vs. Rays odds
MLB ODDS
Affiliate Disclosure.
We are not a gambling or betting operator, but we receive a commission from these companies when we advertise their brands and refer customers to them (affiliate marketing). We provide information, odds information and links to websites of these companies. Some of the information made available on our site may be positioned as a result of a commission paid to us by a third party. We do not take or place bets/transactions and any information on Our Products is provided for entertainment purposes only.
