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Battle of the Texas teams tonight! The TCU Horned Frogs take on the Texas Longhorns tonight for a thrilling Big 12 matchup. Let's break it down.

TCU vs. Texas Prediction: Banking on the Longhorns in This Big 12 Battle

The Texas Longhorns will travel to Fort Worth, Texas, to take on the TCU Horned Frogs in a Big 12 conference matchup. The Big 12 has been stacked this season, and this matchup should be a fun one for college basketball fans. In the previous meeting between these two teams, the Longhorns won by just four points, and this rematch is expected to be just as competitive. The books have TCU as a slight favorite of three points. Is it too many points? Or not enough?

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TCU vs. Texas Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: March 1, 2023
  • Start Time: 9:00 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: ESPN

Click here for TCU vs. Texas odds

TCU vs. Texas Prediction

The Longhorns have been led by their experienced senior core all season long, with Marcus Carr averaging 16.8 points per game and 4.1 assists per game, while Timmy Allen and Sir’Jabari Rice have also been consistent scoring threats. In the previous meeting between these two teams, the Longhorns put up over 70 points, and they are likely to have a solid offensive performance once again. They are a well-balanced offense, and they are shooting 51.8% on effective field goal percentage, which is second in the conference. Texas is one of the most experienced teams in the nation, ranking seventh in the nation in experience on Kenpom. I expect Texas to do well in March because of this. The experience has also helped them keep a short memory, as Texas has not lost two games in a row all season. They are coming off a loss against Baylor.

On the other hand, TCU has struggled with consistency this season and relies too heavily on inside the perimeter shooting. They are last in the Big 12 in three-point shooting percentage at 28.9% and only get 18% of their points from threes, also last in the conference. Despite the recent return of Mike Miles, I still think Texas is a more balanced offense. Although TCU has won two of their last three games, both of those wins were against teams not on Texas' level.

Texas has one of the best defenses in the Big 12, with 6’ 8” Dillon Mitchell and 6’ 7” Christian Bishop being two of the best defenders in the conference. They have been able to shut down opponents in the paint, with Texas only allowing opponents to shoot 49.3% inside the perimeter, which is 4th-lowest in the Big 12 conference. This strength on defense is likely to be a major factor in this matchup, as TCU relies heavily on their inside shooting.

TCU has had a tough season, although some of it was because of injuries. They went 1-4 while Mike Miles was out, but they have won two of their three games since his return. The Horned Frogs have struggled with injuries this season, with Souleymane Doumbia, Rondel Walker, and Eddie Lampkin Jr. all questionable for this matchup. This lack of depth could be a major problem for TCU, as Texas has a significant depth advantage.

The Longhorns are well-positioned to win this matchup against TCU. Texas has a solid senior core, a strong defense, and a depth advantage over the Horned Frogs. TCU has struggled with consistency this season, and their reliance on inside perimeter shooting may not be enough to overcome the Longhorns’ defense. Even if TCU pulls out a close win, we have a three point buffer here. Texas has yet to lose two games in a row all season, and I am banking on that trend to continue tonight.

TCU vs. Texas Pick

Article Author


Ben Rajavuori is a handicapper out of Minneapolis, MN. He has been creating sports content for almost four years now and is an expert in all things NFL, MLB, NBA, UFC, and NCAAB. Ben thrives on diving deep into statistics to find the best angle on every bet. You can follow him on Twitter @WeBeatTheSpread.


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