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Cory Sandhagen UFC

Merab Dvalishvili vs. Cory Sandhagen Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest UFC 320 Odds

Cory Sandhagen will try to accomplish what has been a seemingly impossible task in recent years, taking down Merab Dvalishvili. Sandhagen is a big underdog on Saturday night at UFC 320, can he end Merab's double-digit win streak? Let's take a look at our Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagen prediction and best betting pick for Saturday, October 4 at T-Mobile Arena.

Peter Alexis - October 4, 2025, 6:00 PM EDT

5 Minute Read

Merab Dvalishvili vs. Cory Sandhagen Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest UFC 320 Odds

The co-main event of UFC 320 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas brings a high-stakes bantamweight title fight as Merab Dvalishvili defends his belt against Cory Sandhagen. Oddsmakers have Dvalishvili set as a heavy -420 favorite, while Sandhagen enters as the +310 underdog. It’s a classic clash of styles — Dvalishvili’s relentless grappling against Sandhagen’s striking creativity.

Dvalishvili has been one of the most consistent fighters in the UFC over the past several years. Riding an incredible double-digit win streak, the Georgian standout has used his relentless wrestling and suffocating cardio to overwhelm everyone in the division. He most recently claimed the bantamweight crown with a dominant win, and now he looks to add another elite name to his résumé in his first title defense. With a 20-4 professional record, Merab has evolved into one of the most feared grinders in the UFC.

Sandhagen comes in with a 18-5 record of his own and is no stranger to high-profile fights. The Colorado native has fought many of the top names at 135 pounds, including T.J. Dillashaw, Petr Yan, and Aljamain Sterling. Known for his fluid striking and inventive attacks — from flying knees to spinning techniques — Sandhagen is one of the most dangerous strikers in the division. He enters this fight off back-to-back wins, but the challenge against Dvalishvili’s pressure will be his toughest test yet.

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Merab Dvalishvili vs. Cory Sandhagen Odds

  • Moneyline: Dvalishvili (-420), Sandhagen (+310)

Merab Dvalishvili vs. Cory Sandhagen Date, Time, and Where to Watch

  • Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET (Main Card Start) 11:45 PM ET (Estimated Fight Time)
  • Where to Watch: ESPN+

Click here for complete Prochazka vs. Rountree odds

Merab Dvalishvili vs. Cory Sandhagen Prediction

Breaking this matchup down, the key question is whether Sandhagen can keep the fight standing long enough to land meaningful offense. Dvalishvili is a takedown machine, often shooting more than a dozen times per fight until he wears down his opponents. Even if Sandhagen stuffs the first attempt, Merab’s ability to chain wrestle and keep pushing forward makes him incredibly difficult to neutralize. Over five rounds, that constant grind becomes an even greater advantage.

Sandhagen’s path to victory lies in distance management and volume striking. If he can circle away from the cage, pick his shots, and frustrate Dvalishvili with movement, he has the skill set to make things competitive. However, history shows that Merab thrives against strikers who struggle to handle his pace, and few fighters can match his conditioning across 25 minutes. The longer the fight goes, the more it tilts in his favor.

Oddsmakers are backing Dvalishvili for a reason, but the most profitable angle may not be the moneyline. While Merab does not possess devastating knockout power, he has made a career out of grinding out decisions by smothering opponents. Against a tough and durable striker like Sandhagen, that trend could easily continue.

Merab Dvalishvili vs. Cory Sandhagen Pick

  • Pick: Merab Dvalishvili to Win by Decision (-160) Click here to get the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook

Best Bet: Merab Dvalishvili to win by decision (-160). Sandhagen is too skilled to get blown out early, but Merab’s pressure and control should carry him to another 25-minute victory on the scorecards.

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