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John Hyslop is here to bring you his TNF Anytime Touchdown watchlist. He's eying two players, one for each team, for the game between the Miami Dolphins and Cincinnati Bengals. Read on to find out who's on his list.
ANALYSIS

TNF Anytime Touchdown Longshots: Watchlist for Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals

I love every aspect of betting football. I can go sides, totals, team totals, player props, etc. The market I haven't been too involved with over the years is TD Scorers. Not that I have a problem with TDs, quite the opposite. In fact, I love TDs. They're my favorite. Have been since the day I started watching football back in 1982. Since that's the case, I feel like maybe I should start dabbling in that market. Maybe put out a watch list or something like that. Every time I look into the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market, I always see guys at the bottom with wild odds. Who are those guys? Are they even real people? We need someone to find that out and let us know if those guys even have a prayer of scoring. That person could be me (probably).

TNF Anytime Touchdown Longshots

Durham Smythe (Miami Dolphins) +800 (Bet $100 to win $800)

*Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing*

We're at FanDuel for this one since DraftKings has +550 for this guy. This market feels like the HR market for baseball. We should be getting way better odds for these things but here we are. For starters, Smythe has only scored two touchdowns in his career yet we're only getting +800 for him to score on Thursday. I get that roles change over the years but whatever. The thing is, maybe Thursday will present itself as a good time for Smythe to grab number TD number three of his career.

It's not like the Bengals have proven they can cover the tight end very well. Only four teams gave up more yardage to the position last season and only five gave up more touchdowns. We just saw Tyler Conklin go wild on them last week (8-84). I'm not saying Durham Smythe is going to set any records, but it's not crazy to think that if the Dolphins get inside the 10-yard line, we could easily see whoever is playing quarterback look his way. We're talking +800 here people.

Mitchell Wilcox (Cincinnati Bengals) +850 (Bet $100 to win $850)

*Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing*

The bad news about this guy is he's never scored a touchdown in his professional career. I'm sure he dominated in high school and pop warner but so far in the NFL, not so much. The thing is, he's going to get one at some point. To take it a step further, I bet it's in a primetime game where everyone and their brother has every other Bengal to score. Then this guy turns in a 1-1-1 line. That's how these things work. Always have, always will.

The thing with this guy is, this isn't that crazy. First off, only one team in the NFL has given up more receiving yardage to the tight end position this season than Miami. They can't cover the position. Sure they've only given up one touchdown but it was a 1-yard TD reception (Mark Andrews). I'm just saying that if we see the ball end up inside the five-yard line Thursday night, this is the guy that could get targeted for no reason. Feels right.

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Article Author

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John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.

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