5 Best Player Props For Lions vs. Ravens on Monday Night Football
The Baltimore Ravens will host the Detroit Lions in what could be one of the most exciting games of the season. With everyone housing over props on Monday Night Football, where can you find value on these explosive scoring offenses? Let's take a look at our oddschecker+ AI projections for this Lions vs. Ravens clash and separate the 5 best player prop bets for MNF.
OC Staff - September 22, 2025, 8:50 AM EDT
6 Minute ReadLions vs. Ravens Prop Bets: 5 Best Players to Target on Monday Night Football
With the Lions and Ravens both coming off statement wins, Monday Night Football is set up to deliver points in bunches. The total sits at 53, the highest of the week, and both offenses just posted 30-point blowouts in Week 2. That’s the kind of environment that creates plenty of betting opportunities on the player prop market.
Instead of guessing which stars will shine the brightest, we turn to the oddschecker+ Positive EV tool, which scans every available prop to identify the ones with the biggest edge over the odds. Many expect Lamar Jackson to dazzle with his dual-threat ability, while Jared Goff looks to keep pace by connecting with playmakers like Jahmyr Gibbs, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Jameson Williams. With so many weapons on both sidelines, the numbers tell us where the real value lies.
From quarterbacks pushing the ball downfield, to running backs testing run defenses, to receivers poised for explosive plays, the data highlights where the smartest bets can be made. With Lions vs. Ravens shaping up as one of the highest-scoring games of the season so far, here are the five best player prop bets the model has uncovered for Monday night.
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Lions vs. Ravens Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Monday, September 22, 2025
- Time: 8:15 PM ET
- How to Watch: ESPN
Lions vs. Ravens Odds
Lions vs. Ravens Player Props
1. Jared Goff Over 23.5 Passing Completions (-120) Click here to get the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Jared Goff's passing completions prop for Week 3 against the Baltimore Ravens is drawing significant attention for an 'Over' bet at 23.5 completions. While the Ravens' defense showcased elite form last season, ranking 9th in completion percentage allowed, their early 2025 performance paints a different picture, currently ranking a concerning 32nd in passing yards allowed and 17th in completion percentage allowed through a small sample size.
This defensive shift suggests opponents are finding success through the air and generating high-volume passing attacks against Baltimore. Goff, who consistently averaged over 272 passing yards last season, is perfectly positioned to exploit this vulnerability, likely leading to a high number of attempts and successful connections as the Lions look to keep pace. Our FairPlay AI projects Jared Goff for 25.6 passing completions, indicating a robust 62.9% implied probability of hitting the 'Over'. This creates a substantial 8.3% value gap compared to the market's 54.6% implied probability, translating to an impressive 15.3% positive Expected Value for those backing Goff to go over.
2. Jahmyr Gibbs Over 21.5 Receiving Yards (-115) Click here to get the best odds at BetMGM Sportsbook
Jahmyr Gibbs is poised to exceed expectations this week against the Baltimore Ravens, making his Over 22.5 Receiving Yards prop a compelling target. Our FairPlay AI model projects Gibbs for 28.9 receiving yards, significantly above the sportsbook line, and the data paints a clear picture of why. Last season, Gibbs proved his receiving prowess, averaging 32.61 receiving yards per game. More importantly, the Ravens' defense, while historically strong, has shown vulnerabilities against the pass, ranking 31st in passing yards allowed through the early 2025 season and 28th in 2024.
This defensive profile, combined with Baltimore's elite run defense (ranked 1st in rush yards allowed last season), suggests Detroit will likely leverage Gibbs' receiving ability to exploit the Ravens' secondary. Our AI model assigns a 63.7% probability for Gibbs to hit the Over, a substantial 11.5% edge over the market's implied probability of 52.2%. This sizable value gap translates to a compelling 22.1% Positive EV, highlighting a prime betting opportunity.
3. Mark Andrews Under 3.5 Receptions (-138) Click here to get the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
This week, smart money is eyeing Mark Andrews to stay Under 3.5 Receiving Receptions in his matchup against the Detroit Lions. While we're early in the 2025 season, Andrews' full 2024 campaign saw him average 3.26 receptions per game, already hinting at value below this line. The Detroit Lions present a formidable challenge, showcasing a stout defense that notably ranked 2nd in the league in completion percentage allowed last season, demonstrating their ability to limit opposing pass-catchers' opportunities.
Even in the current 2025 season, their pass defense is proving capable, ranking 13th in passing yards allowed. Our FairPlay AI model projects Andrews at a precise 3.1 receptions, giving a robust 62.7% probability that he stays under the 3.5 line. This offers a significant edge over the market's implied probability of 57.9%, translating to a compelling 8.3% Positive Expected Value. This isn't just a hunch; it's a data-backed play with a clear statistical advantage.
4. Lamar Jackson Under 7.5 Rushing Attempts (-119) Click here to get the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
This Week 3 matchup presents a compelling opportunity with Lamar Jackson’s rushing attempts prop set at Under 7.5 against the Detroit Lions. Despite Jackson's reputation as a dynamic rusher, our model anticipates he will stay below this line facing a resilient Lions defense. Last season (2024), Detroit proved particularly difficult to run against, finishing an impressive 5th in the league in rush yards allowed, a foundational strength that, while currently 15th in the small sample of the 2025 season, still suggests a capable front.
With Jackson averaging over 242 passing yards and 2.3 touchdowns last season, the Ravens have a potent aerial attack they can deploy, potentially lessening the need for their QB to consistently scramble. Our FairPlay AI projects Lamar Jackson for 6.9 Rushing Attempts, signaling a robust 56.0% implied probability that the Under cashes. This creates a valuable 3.6% edge over the market's implied 52.4%, delivering a positive expected value of 6.9% for this astute play.
5. Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 71.5 Receiving Yards (-114) Click here to get the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Amon-Ra St. Brown is poised for a big game against the Baltimore Ravens, making the "Over 72.5 Receiving Yards" prop bet an enticing opportunity. St. Brown has started the 2025 season strong, consistently exceeding this line with an average of 77.28 receiving yards per game, showcasing his established role as Detroit's primary target. This matchup presents a particularly favorable scenario, as the Ravens defense, through two weeks, ranks dead last in the league, allowing a staggering 262.82 passing yards per game, contributing to their concerning 32nd overall pass yards allowed ranking.
While Baltimore typically boasts a formidable defense, their vulnerability to accumulating passing yards appears to be a persistent issue, given they also ranked 28th in this same category last season. With the Ravens also ranking 28th in sacks this early season, Jared Goff should have ample time to connect with St. Brown, who consistently commands over 8 targets per game. Our FairPlay AI model confidently projects Amon-Ra St. Brown for 79.1 receiving yards, giving this "Over" bet a 56.3% probability of cashing. This offers a significant 4.0% value gap over the market's implied 52.4%, leading to a compelling 7.6% positive expected value for bettors.
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